WTNT25 KNHC 022031
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC THU AUG 02 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE
GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  56.6W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  56.6W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  55.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.0N  59.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.2N  62.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 13.6N  65.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.2N  68.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 17.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 18.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  56.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 030231
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC FRI AUG 03 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  58.3W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  50SE   0SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  58.3W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  57.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.7N  61.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.0N  64.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.4N  67.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.0N  70.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.3N  76.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 17.9N  81.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 19.7N  84.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  58.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 031446
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC FRI AUG 03 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED BY THE
APPROPRIATE GOVERNMENTS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  62.3W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  62.3W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  61.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.9N  64.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.4N  68.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.0N  71.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 18.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 20.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  62.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 030843
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC FRI AUG 03 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  60.7W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  21 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  60.7W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  59.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.4N  66.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.9N  69.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.6N  72.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 18.5N  82.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N  86.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N  60.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 032033
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC FRI AUG 03 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  64.1W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  64.1W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  63.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.2N  66.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.7N  69.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.3N  73.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.9N  76.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 19.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  64.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 040839
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC SAT AUG 04 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
JAMAICA LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  67.2W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  67.2W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  66.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.5N  69.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.1N  73.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.7N  76.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.3N  79.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.5N  83.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 19.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 21.5N  90.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  67.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 041443
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC SAT AUG 04 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
JAMAICA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  68.7W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  68.7W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  67.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.8N  71.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.7N  77.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 19.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 22.0N  90.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  68.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 042031
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC SAT AUG 04 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  70.1W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  70.1W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  69.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.2N  72.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.7N  76.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.5N  81.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 19.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.5N  90.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  70.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 050246
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY
BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  72.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  72.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  71.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.8N  75.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.1N  78.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.3N  81.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.0N  82.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.0N  92.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N  72.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 050839
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO
PUNTA CASTILLA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
TO 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  74.8W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  74.8W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  73.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.3N  77.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.6N  80.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.0N  82.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.6N  83.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.5N  87.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.5N  91.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 21.6N  94.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  74.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 051441
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 
* GRAND CAYMAN
 
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  77.1W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  77.1W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  76.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.0N  79.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.4N  81.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.9N  83.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N  85.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  77.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 051441
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 
* GRAND CAYMAN
 
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  77.1W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  77.1W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  76.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.0N  79.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.4N  81.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.9N  83.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N  85.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  77.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 051455
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012

CORRECTED FORMAT IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS SECTION.
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  77.1W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  77.1W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  76.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.0N  79.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.4N  81.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.9N  83.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N  85.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  77.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 052034
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  78.6W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  78.6W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  77.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.5N  80.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.0N  82.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.7N  84.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.5N  86.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.5N  94.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N  97.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N  78.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 060249
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC MON AUG 06 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  79.7W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  79.7W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  79.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.3N  81.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.1N  83.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.1N  85.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.9N  87.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.0N  91.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 20.0N  95.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 20.5N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  79.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 060836
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC MON AUG 06 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA
BORDER.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE EAST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO PUNTA
GRUESA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
GRUESA TO TULUM.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA GRUESA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO
TULUM
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO. A
HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR THIS AREA LATER THIS MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  80.5W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  80.5W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  80.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.4N  82.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.2N  84.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.1N  86.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.7N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.7N  92.2W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N  96.0W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 060838
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC MON AUG 06 2012

CORRECTED INITIAL MOTION FROM 280 TO 275 DEGREES
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA
BORDER.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE EAST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO PUNTA
GRUESA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
GRUESA TO TULUM.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA GRUESA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO
TULUM
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO. A
HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR THIS AREA LATER THIS MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  80.5W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  80.5W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  80.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.4N  82.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.2N  84.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.1N  86.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.7N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.7N  92.2W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N  96.0W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 061450
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC MON AUG 06 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EAST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO PUNTA
ALLEN...AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ALLEN TO TULUM.  THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF TULUM TO CHETUMAL.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE
COAST OF BELIZE.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  80.5W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  80.5W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  80.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.2N  82.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.8N  84.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.5N  86.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.2N  88.1W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.0N  92.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 19.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 061631
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC MON AUG 06 2012

CORRECTED NORTHERN EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN FIRST CHANGES
PARAGRAPH.
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EAST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO PUNTA
ALLEN...AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ALLEN TO TULUM.  THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE
COAST OF BELIZE.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  80.5W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  80.5W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  80.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.2N  82.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.8N  84.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.5N  86.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.2N  88.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.0N  92.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 19.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 062036
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC MON AUG 06 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT 
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  81.6W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  81.6W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  81.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.9N  83.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.7N  87.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.2N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.5N  94.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 19.5N  96.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 19.0N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  81.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 070238
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  82.7W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  82.7W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  82.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.5N  84.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.3N  86.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.9N  89.0W...INLAND OVER YUCATAN
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.3N  91.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.5N  94.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 19.4N  97.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 19.2N  99.4W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N  82.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 071455
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO CHILITEPEC ALONG THE GULF COAST
OF MEXICO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  85.0W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  85.0W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  84.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.6N  86.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.0N  89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.4N  91.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.4N  93.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.2N  96.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  85.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 071752
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERNESTO SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1800 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS INCLUDED THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AND EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO CABO CATOCHE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* COZUMEL
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO CHILITEPEC ALONG THE GULF COAST
OF MEXICO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  85.5W AT 07/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  85.5W AT 07/1800Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  84.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.0N  86.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.4N  89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.4N  91.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.4N  93.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.2N  96.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  85.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 072050
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM SOUTH OF BELIZE
CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS
FOR HONDURAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* COZUMEL
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
* SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO CHILITEPEC ALONG THE GULF COAST
OF MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  86.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  86.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  85.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.4N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.7N  90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.8N  92.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.8N  94.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 19.5N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  86.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 080849
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM COATZACOALCOS NORTHWARD TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO
TUXPAN HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE HAS
BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO TULUM.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON
THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NORTH OF TULUM HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF
MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO
* SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS ALONG THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO
* NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO TUXPAN MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  88.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.1N  90.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.2N  93.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.1N  95.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.8N  96.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.5N  99.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  89.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 080854
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
CORRECTED HEADER FROM HURRICANE TO TROPICAL STORM

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM COATZACOALCOS NORTHWARD TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO
TUXPAN HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE HAS
BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO TULUM.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON
THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NORTH OF TULUM HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF
MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO
* SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS ALONG THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO
* NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO TUXPAN MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  88.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.1N  90.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.2N  93.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.1N  95.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.8N  96.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.5N  99.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  89.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 080926
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
CORRECTED TO ADD 64-KT WIND RADII AT 36 HOUR FORECAST POINT

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM COATZACOALCOS NORTHWARD TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO
TUXPAN HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE HAS
BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO TULUM.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON
THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NORTH OF TULUM HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF
MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO
* SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS ALONG THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO
* NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO TUXPAN MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  88.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.1N  90.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.2N  93.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.1N  95.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.8N  96.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.5N  99.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  89.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 081437
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO
TULUM...CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A HURRICANE WATCH FROM
BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS...AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTALA TO TUXPAN.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO COATZACOALCOS ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  90.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  90.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  89.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.7N  92.3W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N  94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.5N  96.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.4N  97.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  90.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 081444
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC WED AUG 08 2012

CORRECTED TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS. 
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO
TULUM...CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A HURRICANE WATCH FROM
BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS...AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTALA TO TUXPAN.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO BARRA DE NAUTLA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  90.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  90.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  89.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.7N  92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N  94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.5N  96.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.4N  97.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  90.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 082032
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO BARRA DE NAUTLA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  91.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  91.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  90.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.9N  93.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N  95.0W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.2N  96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  91.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 090237
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC THU AUG 09 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ EASTWARD TO CHILITEPEC. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTH OF CAMPECHE MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA
* EAST OF CHILITEPEC TO CAMPECHE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF YUCATAN
MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  91.8W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......120NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  91.8W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  91.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.7N  93.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.3N  95.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.9N  96.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.6N  98.1W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  91.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 090847
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC THU AUG 09 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA
* EAST OF CHILITEPEC TO CAMPECHE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  93.6W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE  60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  93.6W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  93.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N  95.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.0N  96.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.7N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  93.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 091438
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC THU AUG 09 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM
VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AND
DISCONTINUED ALL OTHER COASTAL WACHES AND WARNINGS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  94.3W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE  25SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  94.3W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  93.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.8N  95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.5N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.0N 100.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N  94.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 092034
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC THU AUG 09 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  95.2W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  30SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  95.2W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  94.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.0N  96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.5N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.5N 101.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  95.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 100238
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  96.7W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  96.7W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  96.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.8N  98.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  96.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 100840
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  97.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  97.8W AT 10/0900Z...INLAND
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  97.2W...INLAND
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.9N  99.4W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  97.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 022031
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC THU AUG 02 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE
GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  56.6W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  56.6W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  55.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.0N  59.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 13.2N  62.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 13.6N  65.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.2N  68.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 17.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 18.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  56.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 030231
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC FRI AUG 03 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...AND DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  58.3W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  50SE   0SW  70NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  58.3W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  57.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 13.7N  61.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.0N  64.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.4N  67.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.0N  70.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.3N  76.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 17.9N  81.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 19.7N  84.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  58.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 


WTNT25 KNHC 030843
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC FRI AUG 03 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE AND GUADELOUPE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  60.7W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  21 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  60.7W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  59.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.4N  66.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.9N  69.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.6N  72.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 17.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 18.5N  82.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 20.5N  86.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N  60.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 


WTNT25 KNHC 031446
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC FRI AUG 03 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED BY THE
APPROPRIATE GOVERNMENTS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  62.3W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  62.3W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  61.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 13.9N  64.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.4N  68.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.0N  71.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 18.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 20.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  62.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 032033
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC FRI AUG 03 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  64.1W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  64.1W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  63.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.2N  66.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.7N  69.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.3N  73.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.9N  76.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 19.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 21.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  64.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 040237
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC SAT AUG 04 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF JAMAICA ON
SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  65.6W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  65.6W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  64.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 14.2N  67.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.7N  71.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.4N  74.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.1N  77.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.5N  82.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 19.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 22.0N  88.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  65.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 040839
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC SAT AUG 04 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
JAMAICA LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  67.2W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  67.2W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  66.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 14.5N  69.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.1N  73.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.7N  76.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.3N  79.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.5N  83.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 19.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 21.5N  90.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  67.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 041443
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC SAT AUG 04 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
JAMAICA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  68.7W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  68.7W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  67.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 14.8N  71.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.7N  77.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.0N  84.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 19.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 22.0N  90.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  68.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 


WTNT25 KNHC 042031
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC SAT AUG 04 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  70.1W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  70.1W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  69.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.2N  72.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.7N  76.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.5N  81.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 19.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.5N  90.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  70.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 050246
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY
BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  72.7W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  72.7W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  71.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.8N  75.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.1N  78.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.3N  81.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.0N  82.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.0N  92.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N  72.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 050839
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO
PUNTA CASTILLA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
TO 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  74.8W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  74.8W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  73.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.3N  77.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.6N  80.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.0N  82.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.6N  83.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.5N  87.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 20.5N  91.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 21.6N  94.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  74.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 051441
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 
* GRAND CAYMAN
 
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  77.1W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  77.1W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  76.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.0N  79.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.4N  81.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.9N  83.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N  85.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  77.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 051455
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012

CORRECTED FORMAT IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS SECTION.
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  77.1W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  77.1W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  76.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.0N  79.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.4N  81.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.9N  83.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N  85.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 21.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  77.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 052034
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  78.6W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  78.6W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  77.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.5N  80.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.0N  82.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.7N  84.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.5N  86.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.0N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.5N  94.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N  97.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N  78.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 060249
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC MON AUG 06 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA CASTILLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
12 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  79.7W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  79.7W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  79.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.3N  81.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.1N  83.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.1N  85.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.9N  87.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.0N  91.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 20.0N  95.2W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 20.5N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  79.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 060836
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC MON AUG 06 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA
BORDER.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE EAST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO PUNTA
GRUESA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
GRUESA TO TULUM.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA GRUESA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO
TULUM
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO. A
HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR THIS AREA LATER THIS MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  80.5W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  80.5W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  80.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.4N  82.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.2N  84.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.1N  86.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.7N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.7N  92.2W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N  96.0W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 060838
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC MON AUG 06 2012

CORRECTED INITIAL MOTION FROM 280 TO 275 DEGREES
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE HONDURAS/GUATEMALA
BORDER.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE EAST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO PUNTA
GRUESA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
GRUESA TO TULUM.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA GRUESA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND CAYMAN
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO
TULUM
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BELIZE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO. A
HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR THIS AREA LATER THIS MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  80.5W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  80.5W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  80.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 15.4N  82.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.2N  84.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.1N  86.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.7N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.7N  92.2W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 19.0N  96.0W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 061450
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC MON AUG 06 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EAST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO PUNTA
ALLEN...AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ALLEN TO TULUM.  THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF TULUM TO CHETUMAL.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE
COAST OF BELIZE.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  80.5W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  80.5W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  80.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.2N  82.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.8N  84.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.5N  86.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.2N  88.1W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.0N  92.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 19.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 061631
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC MON AUG 06 2012

CORRECTED NORTHERN EXTENT OF TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN FIRST CHANGES
PARAGRAPH.
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE EAST
COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO PUNTA
ALLEN...AND HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF PUNTA
ALLEN TO TULUM.  THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE
COAST OF BELIZE.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  80.5W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  80.5W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  80.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.2N  82.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.8N  84.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.5N  86.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.2N  88.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.0N  92.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 19.0N  95.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 062036
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC MON AUG 06 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT 
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  81.6W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  81.6W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  81.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.9N  83.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.7N  87.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.2N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.5N  94.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 19.5N  96.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 19.0N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  81.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 070238
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  82.7W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  82.7W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  82.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.5N  84.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.3N  86.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.9N  89.0W...INLAND OVER YUCATAN
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.3N  91.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.5N  94.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 19.4N  97.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 19.2N  99.4W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N  82.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 070850
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM TULUM NORTHWARD
TO CANCUN WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ALSO ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND
WESTWARD TO CHILITEPEC.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* FROM CELESTUN SOUTHWARD TO CHILITEPEC ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  83.9W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  83.9W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  83.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.2N  85.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.8N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.3N  90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.4N  92.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.3N  96.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  83.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 071455
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE HURRICANE WARNING
NORTHWARD TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO CHILITEPEC ALONG THE GULF COAST
OF MEXICO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  85.0W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  85.0W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  84.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.6N  86.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.0N  89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.4N  91.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.4N  93.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.2N  96.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  85.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 071752
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERNESTO SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1800 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS INCLUDED THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AND EXTENDED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTHWARD
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TO CABO CATOCHE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* COZUMEL
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO CHILITEPEC ALONG THE GULF COAST
OF MEXICO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  85.5W AT 07/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  85.5W AT 07/1800Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  84.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.0N  86.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.4N  89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.4N  91.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.4N  93.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.2N  96.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 19.0N 100.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  85.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 


WTNT25 KNHC 072050
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC TUE AUG 07 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM SOUTH OF BELIZE
CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS
FOR HONDURAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* COZUMEL
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
* SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO CHILITEPEC ALONG THE GULF COAST
OF MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  86.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  86.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  85.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.4N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.7N  90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.8N  92.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.8N  94.4W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 19.5N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  86.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 080237
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR MAINLAND
MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF BARRA DE
NAUTLA NORTHWARD TO TUXPAN MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* COZUMEL
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA
* SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO CHILITEPEC ALONG THE GULF COAST
OF MEXICO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO TUXPAN MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  87.7W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 100SE  50SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  87.7W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  87.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.1N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.4N  91.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.4N  94.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.2N  95.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.7N  98.5W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  87.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 080849
TCMAT5
 
HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM COATZACOALCOS NORTHWARD TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO
TUXPAN HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE HAS
BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO TULUM.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON
THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NORTH OF TULUM HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF
MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO
* SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS ALONG THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO
* NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO TUXPAN MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  88.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.1N  90.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.2N  93.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.1N  95.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.8N  96.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.5N  99.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  89.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 080854
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
CORRECTED HEADER FROM HURRICANE TO TROPICAL STORM

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM COATZACOALCOS NORTHWARD TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO
TUXPAN HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE HAS
BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO TULUM.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON
THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NORTH OF TULUM HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF
MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO
* SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS ALONG THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO
* NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO TUXPAN MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  88.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.1N  90.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.2N  93.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.1N  95.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.8N  96.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.5N  99.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  89.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 080926
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
CORRECTED TO ADD 64-KT WIND RADII AT 36 HOUR FORECAST POINT

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM COATZACOALCOS NORTHWARD TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO
TUXPAN HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE HAS
BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO TULUM.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON
THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NORTH OF TULUM HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF
MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO
* SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER OF GUATEMALA
* CELESTUN SOUTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO COATZACOALCOS ALONG THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO
* NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA TO TUXPAN MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  89.0W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  88.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.1N  90.9W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.2N  93.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 19.1N  95.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.8N  96.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.5N  99.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  89.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 081437
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO
TULUM...CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A HURRICANE WATCH FROM
BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS...AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTALA TO TUXPAN.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO COATZACOALCOS ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  90.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  90.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  89.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.7N  92.3W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N  94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.5N  96.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.4N  97.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  90.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 081444
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC WED AUG 08 2012

CORRECTED TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS. 
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO
TULUM...CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A HURRICANE WATCH FROM
BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS...AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTALA TO TUXPAN.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM BELIZE CITY TO THE BORDER OF MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO BARRA DE NAUTLA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  90.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  90.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  89.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 18.7N  92.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.6N  94.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.5N  96.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 18.4N  97.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  90.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 082032
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARRA DE NAUTLA TO COATZACOALCOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CELESTUN TO BARRA DE NAUTLA ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  91.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  91.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  90.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.9N  93.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N  95.0W...ON THE COAST
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.2N  96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  91.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 090237
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC THU AUG 09 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF
COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ EASTWARD TO CHILITEPEC. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
NORTH OF CAMPECHE MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA
* EAST OF CHILITEPEC TO CAMPECHE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF YUCATAN
MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  91.8W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......120NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  91.8W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  91.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 18.7N  93.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 18.3N  95.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.9N  96.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.6N  98.1W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N  91.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 090847
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC THU AUG 09 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF VERACRUZ TO BARRA DE NAUTLA
* EAST OF CHILITEPEC TO CAMPECHE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  93.6W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE  60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  93.6W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N  93.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.5N  95.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.0N  96.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.7N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  93.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 091438
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
1500 UTC THU AUG 09 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM
VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING...AND
DISCONTINUED ALL OTHER COASTAL WACHES AND WARNINGS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  94.3W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE  25SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  94.3W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  93.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 17.8N  95.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.5N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.0N 100.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N  94.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 092034
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
2100 UTC THU AUG 09 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* VERACRUZ TO CHILITEPEC MEXICO
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  95.2W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  30SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  95.2W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  94.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 18.0N  96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.5N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.5N 101.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  95.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 


WTNT25 KNHC 100238
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0300 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  96.7W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  96.7W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  96.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.8N  98.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  96.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 100840
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052012
0900 UTC FRI AUG 10 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  97.8W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  97.8W AT 10/0900Z...INLAND
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  97.2W...INLAND
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.9N  99.4W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  97.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

