WTNT35 KNHC 131440
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1100 AM AST MON OCT 13 2008

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FIFTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE
69.6 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES...545 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
CURACAO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH...3 KM/HR.
LITTLE SIGNIFICANT MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36
HOURS...HOWEVER...A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON
WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS
SCHEDULED TO REACH THE DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

THIS IS A LARGE DEPRESSION AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY
SPREAD OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY.   
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...14.8 N...69.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT35 KNHC 132036
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
500 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEARLY STATIONARY...

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EXTREME EASTERN PORTION
OF HISPANIOLA FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST OR ABOUT
355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 185
MILES...295 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CURACAO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREAFTER...A NORTHEAST TRACK WITH AN INCREASE
FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN...BRINGING THE CENTER VERY NEAR PUERTO
RICO OR THE VIRGIN ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
TUESDAY. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
THIS IS A LARGE DEPRESSION AND BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE 
SPREADING OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO. 

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N...69.9 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT35 KNHC 132353
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
800 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008
 
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING DEPRESSION...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.  
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS RELOCATED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 14.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST OR ABOUT 355 MILES...570 KM...SOUTHWEST
OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A MOTION TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
BY LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT
OR TOMORROW. 
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION WILL AFFECT PUERTO RICO AND
PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...14.5 N...69.4 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 

WTNT35 KNHC 140250
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1100 PM AST MON OCT 13 2008

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REMAINS STATIONARY... 

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST OR ABOUT
340 MILES...550 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY.  A SLOW MOTION TO THE NORTHEAST IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON TUESDAY WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ON WEDNESDAY.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS...WITH THE SYSTEM EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TUESDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...14.6 N...69.4 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 

WTNT35 KNHC 140540
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
200 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2008
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.

INTERESTS IN THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

CURACAO RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD
THE SOUTHEAST.

AT 200 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST OR ABOUT
360 MILES...580 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 145
MILES...235 KM...NORTH OF CURACAO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. 
A TURN TO THE EAST AND THEN NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM AST POSITION...14.3N...69.3W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH

WTNT35 KNHC 140831
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
500 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...DEPRESSION SPREADING HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.2 WEST OR ABOUT
350 MILES...565 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 140
MILES...225 KM...NORTH OF CURACAO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. 
A TURN TO THE EAST AND THEN NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...14.3 N...69.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT35 KNHC 140831
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
500 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2008

...DEPRESSION SPREADING HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.2 WEST OR ABOUT
350 MILES...565 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 140
MILES...225 KM...NORTH OF CURACAO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. 
A TURN TO THE EAST AND THEN NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...14.3 N...69.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT35 KNHC 141142
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
800 AM AST TUE OCT 14 2008
 
...DEPRESSION NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT SPREADS HEAVY
RAINS OVER THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.1 WEST OR ABOUT
360 MILES...580 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO AND ABOUT 140
MILES...225 KM...NORTH OF CURACAO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE EAST AND THEN NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TODAY...
WITH A SLOW INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
THE DEPRESSION MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...14.2 N...69.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

