WTNT24 KNHC 021433
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042010
1500 UTC MON AUG 02 2010

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  41.1W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  41.1W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  40.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.5N  44.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.8N  48.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.4N  53.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.4N  57.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 29.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  41.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





WTNT24 KNHC 022038
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042010
2100 UTC MON AUG 02 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  42.5W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  42.5W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  41.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 13.8N  45.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.2N  49.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.8N  54.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.5N  57.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 26.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 29.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  42.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 030246
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042010
0300 UTC TUE AUG 03 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  45.1W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  45.1W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  44.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.6N  48.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.0N  52.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.7N  56.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.6N  59.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 31.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  45.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

