WTNT25 KNHC 141441
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1500 UTC TUE OCT 14 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND THE EXTREME
EASTERN PORTION OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO CABO
ENGANO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ST. MARTIN...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND SABA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  69.0W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 115 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  69.0W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  69.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 14.7N  68.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.8N  67.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 17.3N  65.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.1N  63.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  55SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 23.8N  60.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 28.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 33.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  69.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 142032
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2008
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS.
 
AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENTS OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...ANTIGUA
AND BARBUDA...AND FRANCE...HAVE ALSO ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...
ST. MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...AND ST. BARTHELEMY.
 
AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLAND OF MONTSERRAT.
 
AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE EASTERN PORTION OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  68.5W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  40SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  68.5W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  68.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 14.6N  68.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 35NE  45SE  25SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.9N  66.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N  64.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  30SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  35SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.6N  62.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.0N  58.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 31.1N  55.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 38.0N  49.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  68.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 150248
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
0300 UTC WED OCT 15 2008
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
 
AT 11 PM AST...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ST.
MARTIN/MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS...BY THEIR
RESPECTIVE GOVERNMENTS.
 
AT 11 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND MONTSERRAT.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO.  A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  68.1W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  80SE  40SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  68.1W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  68.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 15.1N  67.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  20SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.7N  65.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.1N  63.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.9N  61.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.0N  58.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  75SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 33.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 41.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  68.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 150840
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
0900 UTC WED OCT 15 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...
SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY.
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  67.7W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  67.7W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  68.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.8N  66.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  50SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N  64.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.8N  62.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.8N  60.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  75SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 29.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  75SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 35.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 43.0N  37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  67.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 151448
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1500 UTC WED OCT 15 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...
SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  67.2W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  45SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  67.2W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  67.5W

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.6N  65.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.1N  63.9W...NRN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.0N  61.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.7N  60.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 30.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 37.0N  48.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 45.0N  32.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  67.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000

WTNT25 KNHC 152044
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...
SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND ANGUILLA.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO...AND ALSO FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE..WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  66.1W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  66.1W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  66.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.6N  64.8W...NRN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.4N  62.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.2N  60.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.1N  59.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 31.7N  54.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 39.0N  44.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 48.0N  27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  66.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




000

WTNT25 KNHC 160256
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
0300 UTC THU OCT 16 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST.
BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND ANGUILLA.  A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO...AND ALSO FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE..WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  64.5W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  64.5W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  65.2W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 19.4N  63.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.2N  61.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.0N  59.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 27.6N  57.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 41.0N  41.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 47.0N  25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  64.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





WTNT25 KNHC 160848
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
0900 UTC THU OCT 16 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...
SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...AND ANGUILLA.

AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.


HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  63.2W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  63.2W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  63.9W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 21.7N  61.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 26.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 30.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  25SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 100SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 33.5N  52.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 37.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 40.0N  37.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 42.0N  25.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.1N  63.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT25 KNHC 161452
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1500 UTC THU OCT 16 2008

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  61.3W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  20 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  45SE  30SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  75SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE  75SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  61.3W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  61.9W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  75SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  75SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 28.0N  56.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 31.3N  54.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.4N  51.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  50SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 38.0N  45.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 100SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  34.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.0N  23.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N  61.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART





WTNT25 KNHC 162046
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
2100 UTC THU OCT 16 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  59.7W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  23 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N  59.7W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  60.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 25.0N  57.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  75SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 28.2N  55.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  75SE  45SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 30.1N  53.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 32.2N  50.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 36.0N  46.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 38.0N  39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 38.0N  31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N  59.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 170236
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
0300 UTC FRI OCT 17 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  58.1W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  58.1W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  58.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 26.4N  56.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 29.3N  54.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 31.3N  51.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 33.3N  49.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 37.0N  43.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 38.0N  35.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 38.0N  28.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N  58.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 170833
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
0900 UTC FRI OCT 17 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  56.4W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  56.4W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  57.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 28.7N  54.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 31.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 33.0N  50.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 35.0N  48.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 38.5N  42.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 40.0N  35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 40.0N  28.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N  56.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 171451
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1500 UTC FRI OCT 17 2008
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  55.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  30 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  55.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  55.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 31.4N  53.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.4N  51.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.1N  49.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.6N  47.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.0N  42.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 40.5N  36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N  55.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 172031
TCMAT5
HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
2100 UTC FRI OCT 17 2008

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  53.6W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  25 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  53.6W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  54.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 32.9N  52.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 34.9N  49.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 36.5N  47.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 38.0N  44.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.5N  39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 39.5N  34.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  53.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 180233
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
0300 UTC SAT OCT 18 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  52.8W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  25SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE  90SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.5N  52.8W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  53.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 33.3N  51.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  25SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 35.1N  48.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.7N  46.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 38.3N  43.2W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.5N  39.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 42.0N  36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.5N  52.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 180832
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
0900 UTC SAT OCT 18 2008

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N  51.5W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  25SE  25SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE  75SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N  51.5W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N  52.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 34.3N  49.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 36.1N  47.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  75SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 37.6N  44.6W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  60SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 38.7N  42.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.3N  38.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 43.0N  35.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.9N  51.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 181433
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
1500 UTC SAT OCT 18 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  50.7W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 25NE  60SE  25SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 200SE  75SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.4N  50.7W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  51.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 34.7N  48.9W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 36.5N  46.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 37.5N  43.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 38.0N  41.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.0N  38.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 41.0N  36.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.4N  50.7W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
 
$$

FORECASTER AVILA
  

