WTNT25 KNHC 261430
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
1500 UTC WED AUG 26 2009
 
INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N  70.3W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.9N  70.3W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  70.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 25.8N  72.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.8N  73.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 28.1N  74.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 30.1N  75.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT...135NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 36.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...135NE 135SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 45.0N  67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 52.0N  53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.9N  70.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 262034
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
2100 UTC WED AUG 26 2009
 
INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  71.2W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N  71.2W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  70.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 26.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 27.1N  73.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  45SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 28.7N  74.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 31.1N  74.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 47.5N  63.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 53.1N  48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N  71.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 270245
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
0300 UTC THU AUG 27 2009
 
INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS AND FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW
ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  71.6W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE   0SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  71.6W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  71.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.8N  72.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE   0SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 28.1N  74.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  45SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 30.0N  74.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.8N  74.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 41.5N  69.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 49.0N  58.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 53.5N  43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N  71.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 270839
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
0900 UTC THU AUG 27 2009
 
INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  72.1W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE   0SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 210SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  72.1W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  71.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 28.4N  73.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE   0SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 30.0N  74.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE   0SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 32.3N  74.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 35.7N  72.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 44.0N  66.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 50.0N  55.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 53.0N  40.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  72.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 271433
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
1500 UTC THU AUG 27 2009
 
INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  73.1W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE   0SW 135NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  73.1W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  72.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 28.7N  73.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE   0SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 30.3N  74.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE   0SW 135NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 33.2N  74.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 36.9N  72.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 45.0N  64.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 50.0N  53.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 52.5N  37.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  73.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 272035
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
2100 UTC THU AUG 27 2009
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...
INCLUDING THE ABLEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  73.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..225NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  73.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  73.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 28.5N  74.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 30.7N  75.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 34.4N  74.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.8N  71.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.5N  61.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  60SE  45SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 50.0N  49.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 51.0N  32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  73.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 280230
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
0300 UTC FRI AUG 28 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA ON FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  73.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  73.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  73.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 29.7N  74.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 120SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 36.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...120NE  75SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 40.5N  69.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 100SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 47.5N  59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 50.5N  46.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 51.0N  31.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.4N  73.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 280840
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
0900 UTC FRI AUG 28 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE...WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA ON FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  74.4W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  74.4W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  74.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 31.3N  74.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 34.2N  74.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 42.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 47.5N  59.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 180SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 52.0N  47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 54.0N  26.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N  74.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 281432
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...
WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA LATER TODAY.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA ON FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  75.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..220NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  75.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  75.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 32.5N  75.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 130SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 36.2N  74.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 110SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 40.7N  70.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 44.6N  65.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 190SE 120SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 49.6N  52.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 300SE 180SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 52.5N  38.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 54.5N  21.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  75.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 282032
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
2100 UTC FRI AUG 28 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...
WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA TONIGHT.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  75.4W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  75.4W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  75.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.7N  75.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 37.3N  73.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 41.9N  68.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.5N  61.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 50.5N  49.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 360SE 180SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 53.0N  35.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 55.0N  22.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.4N  75.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 290234
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
0300 UTC SAT AUG 29 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE...
WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  74.9W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.4N  74.9W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  75.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 34.7N  73.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 39.5N  70.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 44.0N  64.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 47.3N  58.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 51.5N  45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...210NE 330SE 180SW 210NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 53.5N  30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 56.0N  14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.4N  74.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 290842
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL052009
0900 UTC SAT AUG 29 2009
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N  74.6W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  27 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.3N  74.6W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  75.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 38.0N  73.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 41.2N  69.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 200SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 46.2N  62.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 100SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 49.5N  56.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 300SE 100SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 54.5N  43.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 240SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 56.5N  27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 57.0N  10.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.3N  74.6W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

