WTNT21 KNHC 252158
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012010
2200 UTC FRI JUN 25 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO
CANCUN.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO
CANCUN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  83.5W AT 25/2200Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  83.5W AT 25/2200Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  82.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.4N  84.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 19.5N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 21.0N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 23.0N  91.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 24.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  83.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/BRENNAN





WTNT21 KNHC 260232
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL012010
0300 UTC SAT JUN 26 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  84.4W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  84.4W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  83.9W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.4N  85.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  15SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.4N  87.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 19.5N  89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.8N  90.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE  15SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 22.5N  92.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 24.0N  93.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.5N  94.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  84.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





