WTNT32 KNHC 080257
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1100 PM AST MON SEP 07 2009
 
...SIXTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON FORMS...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.3 WEST OR ABOUT 245
MILES...390 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...11.8N 26.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 

WTNT32 KNHC 080840
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
500 AM AST TUE SEP 08 2009

...FRED STRENGTHENING OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.3 WEST OR ABOUT 285
MILES...460 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.  A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND FRED COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...11.8N 27.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 15 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT32 KNHC 081434
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 08 2009

...FRED CONTINUING TO STRENGTHEN...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE...
 
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 28.6 WEST OR ABOUT 345
MILES...555 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AND FRED IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...11.9N 28.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

WTNT32 KNHC 082031
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
500 PM AST TUE SEP 08 2009

...FRED ALMOST A HURRICANE...
 
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.8 WEST OR ABOUT 410
MILES...655 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY AND FRED IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TOMORROW.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...12.1N 29.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

WTNT32 KNHC 090243
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 08 2009
 
...FRED BECOMES A HURRICANE...THE SECOND OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 30.6 WEST OR ABOUT 445 MILES...
715 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.  FRED IS THEN FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH
A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON THURSDAY.
 
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FRED IS
NOW A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. 
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE DAY OR SO...
FOLLOWED BY SLOW WEAKENING BEGINNING ON THURSDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
85 MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...12.6N 30.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

WTNT32 KNHC 090835
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
500 AM AST WED SEP 09 2009
 
...FRED INTENSIFIES RAPIDLY OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...

AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 31.7 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...
805 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST
WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FRED IS
A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND FRED COULD BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY.  WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON
THURSDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...13.2N 31.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT32 KNHC 091442
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1100 AM AST WED SEP 09 2009

...FRED BECOMES THE SECOND MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE YEAR...NO THREAT
TO LAND...
 
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.4 WEST OR ABOUT 540 MILES...
870 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR....  A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH WITH A DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FRED IS
A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME
FLUCTATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE TODAY BUT FRED IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN TOMORROW.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...13.9N 32.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

WTNT32 KNHC 092033
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
500 PM AST WED SEP 09 2009
 
...FRED WEAKENS A LITTLE...BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.3 WEST OR ABOUT 595 MILES...
955 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.  A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH WITH A DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...
185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FRED IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
115 MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.8N 33.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BERG
 

WTNT32 KNHC 100239
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1100 PM AST WED SEP 09 2009
 
...FRED WEAKENING...NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.7 WEST OR ABOUT 645 MILES...
1040 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...
165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FRED IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
115 MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.3N 33.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

WTNT32 KNHC 100833
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
500 AM AST THU SEP 10 2009

...FRED STILL A POWERFUL HURRICANE...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD BY
LATE TONIGHT...
 
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.6 WEST OR ABOUT 705 MILES...
1135 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A CONSIDERABLE DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED BY LATE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST ON
FRIDAY.
  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  FRED IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON SCALE.  WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND
FRED IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...15.9N 34.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

WTNT32 KNHC 101434
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1100 AM AST THU SEP 10 2009

...FRED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC WITH 100 MPH WINDS...
 
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.1 WEST OR ABOUT 740 MILES...
1185 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. FRED IS
FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN AND ONLY A SMALL NORTHWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB...28.76 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...16.8N 35.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT32 KNHC 102037
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
500 PM AST THU SEP 10 2009
 
...FRED EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE FAR
EASTERN ATLANTIC... 

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.1 WEST OR ABOUT 740 MILES...
1190 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED...A FRED SHOULD MOVE LITTLE DURING THE
NEXT TWO DAYS. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FRED SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.3N 35.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT32 KNHC 110237
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1100 PM AST THU SEP 10 2009
 
...FRED WEAKENS AND SLOWS DOWN A LITTLE MORE...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.1 WEST OR ABOUT 740 MILES...
1190 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR.  FRED IS
EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTHWARD OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FRED IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND FRED SHOULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
STORM ON FRIDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.4N 35.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 3 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

WTNT32 KNHC 110847
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
500 AM AST FRI SEP 11 2009

...FRED EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATER TODAY...
 
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.1 WEST OR ABOUT 745 MILES...
1195 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR.  A DRIFT
TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  FRED IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE.  WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND FRED SHOULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.7N 35.1W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

WTNT32 KNHC 111434
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 11 2009

...FRED BARELY MOVING....
 
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRED WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.0 WEST OR ABOUT 740 MILES...
1190 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/HR...AND LITTLE
MOTION IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FRED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...18.0N 35.0W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 1 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT32 KNHC 112037
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
500 PM AST FRI SEP 11 2009
 
...FRED BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM...FORECAST TO WEAKEN FURTHER...

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.6 WEST OR ABOUT 715
MILES...1150 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. LITTLE
MOTION IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...18.1N 34.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 2 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT32 KNHC 120233
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 11 2009
 
...FRED CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.6 WEST OR ABOUT 650
MILES...1045 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS MOVING VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4
KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A
CONTINUED SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SUNDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED IN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...18.0N 33.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 2 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 

WTNT32 KNHC 120845
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
500 AM AST SAT SEP 12 2009

...FRED MOVING LITTLE AND WEAKENING...
 
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.6 WEST OR ABOUT 645
MILES...1040 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS NEARLY STATIONARY. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A CONTINUED SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED ON SUNDAY. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND FRED COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY
SUNDAY NIGHT.  
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.8N 33.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

WTNT32 KNHC 121433
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 12 2009
 
...FRED EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FRED WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.7 WEST OR ABOUT 650
MILES...1045 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS NEARLY STATIONARY BUT A MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-
NORTHWEST SHOULD BEGIN LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A
TURN TOWARD NORTHWEST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
SUNDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND FRED
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.5N 33.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 

WTNT32 KNHC 122035
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
500 PM AST SAT SEP 12 2009
 
...FRED NOW A REMNANT LOW...
 
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF FRED WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.7 WEST OR ABOUT 650 MILES...
1050 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
 
FRED IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/HR. A MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST SHOULD BEGIN LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD NORTHWEST WITH SOME INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED ON SUNDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  FURTHER GRADUAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY...
AND FRED IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.7N 33.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 1 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB
 
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON FRED.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 

