WTNT22 KNHC 080256
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0300 UTC TUE SEP 08 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  26.3W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  30SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  26.3W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  25.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 12.0N  28.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 12.6N  30.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 13.6N  31.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.8N  32.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.5N  34.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 19.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 21.0N  34.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N  26.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 080840
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0900 UTC TUE SEP 08 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  27.3W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  45SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  27.3W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  26.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 12.1N  29.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 13.0N  30.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 13.9N  32.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.1N  33.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.5N  34.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 19.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.5N  34.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.8N  27.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT22 KNHC 081433
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1500 UTC TUE SEP 08 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  28.6W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  28.6W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  28.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 12.4N  30.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 13.3N  32.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.4N  33.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.7N  34.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.7N  34.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 19.0N  34.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.5N  35.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N  28.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 082031
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
2100 UTC TUE SEP 08 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  29.8W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  90SE  90SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  29.8W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  29.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 12.8N  31.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 13.9N  32.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.2N  33.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.4N  34.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 18.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 19.5N  33.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 22.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.1N  29.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 090242
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0300 UTC WED SEP 09 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  30.6W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  30.6W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  30.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 13.3N  31.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.5N  33.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 15.7N  34.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 16.8N  34.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.3N  34.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 20.0N  33.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 23.0N  34.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.6N  30.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 090835
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0900 UTC WED SEP 09 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  31.7W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE  90SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  31.7W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  31.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.1N  32.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.4N  33.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.5N  34.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.3N  34.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.4N  34.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.6N  34.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 23.0N  34.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N  31.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 091441
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1500 UTC WED SEP 09 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  32.4W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  32.4W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  32.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.9N  33.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.2N  34.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.2N  34.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.7N  34.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.7N  34.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.5N  34.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 23.5N  36.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  32.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 092033
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
2100 UTC WED SEP 09 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  33.3W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  33.3W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  32.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.8N  34.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.0N  34.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.8N  34.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 18.3N  34.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 19.5N  33.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 21.5N  34.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 23.5N  37.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  33.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 100236
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0300 UTC THU SEP 10 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  33.7W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  33.7W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  33.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.2N  34.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.1N  34.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.8N  34.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.4N  34.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 19.5N  33.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 22.0N  35.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 23.5N  38.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N  33.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 100831
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0900 UTC THU SEP 10 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  34.6W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  34.6W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  34.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.6N  35.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.4N  35.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.9N  34.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.2N  34.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 19.5N  34.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 21.5N  35.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 23.0N  39.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  34.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 101434
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1500 UTC THU SEP 10 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  35.1W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  35.1W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  34.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.5N  35.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 18.0N  35.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.2N  35.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.6N  34.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 20.5N  35.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 22.0N  38.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 24.0N  42.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  35.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 102037
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
2100 UTC THU SEP 10 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  35.1W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  35.1W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  35.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 17.9N  35.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 18.1N  35.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.2N  35.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.3N  35.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.5N  36.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 21.5N  39.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 22.5N  44.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  35.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 110236
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0300 UTC FRI SEP 11 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  35.1W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  35.1W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  35.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 17.7N  35.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.9N  34.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.0N  34.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.3N  34.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 20.0N  36.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 21.5N  41.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 23.0N  45.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N  35.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 110847
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0900 UTC FRI SEP 11 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  35.1W AT 11/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  35.1W AT 11/0900Z
AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  35.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.9N  35.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.0N  34.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.2N  34.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.6N  34.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.0N  37.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 21.5N  42.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 22.5N  47.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  35.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 111433
TCMAT2
HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1500 UTC FRI SEP 11 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  35.0W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   1 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  45SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  35.0W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  35.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.1N  34.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.2N  34.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.5N  34.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.0N  35.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.5N  38.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 22.0N  43.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 23.0N  49.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  35.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 112037
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
2100 UTC FRI SEP 11 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  34.6W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  45SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  34.6W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  34.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.2N  34.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.4N  34.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.8N  34.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.5N  36.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 21.0N  40.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 22.5N  45.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 24.0N  50.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  34.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 120232
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  33.6W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  60 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  33.6W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  33.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.1N  33.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 18.4N  33.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 19.2N  34.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  15SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 20.0N  35.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 22.0N  40.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 23.5N  46.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 25.0N  51.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  33.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 120845
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
0900 UTC SAT SEP 12 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  33.6W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  45SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  33.6W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  33.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.0N  33.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.6N  33.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.5N  35.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 20.5N  37.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 22.5N  42.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 24.0N  48.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 25.5N  53.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  33.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 121433
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
1500 UTC SAT SEP 12 2009
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  33.7W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  25SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  33.7W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  33.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.7N  33.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.4N  34.4W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.3N  36.4W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.5N  38.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.5N  44.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  33.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 122033
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072009
2100 UTC SAT SEP 12 2009
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  33.7W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   1 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  33.7W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  33.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.1N  34.1W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.0N  35.1W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.8N  37.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 21.1N  39.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N  33.7W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON FRED.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 

