WTNT22 KNHC 240854
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
0900 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  25.2W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.7N  25.2W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  24.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 11.1N  27.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 11.8N  29.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 12.7N  31.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.7N  33.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.0N  35.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 18.0N  37.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.0N  39.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.7N  25.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 241459
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
1500 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  26.7W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  26.7W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N  26.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 11.4N  28.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 12.2N  30.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 13.2N  32.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.2N  33.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.4N  36.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 18.4N  38.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.5N  39.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N  26.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

