WTNT31 KNHC 240230
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112007
1100 PM AST SUN SEP 23 2007

..JERRY BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM...
 
AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.1 WEST OR ABOUT 1045
MILES...1680 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES.
 
JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
  
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...37.4 N...46.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 240839
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112007
500 AM AST MON SEP 24 2007

..JERRY ACCELERATING TOWARD COOLER WATERS...
 
AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.4 WEST OR ABOUT 995
MILES...1605 KM...WEST OF THE AZORES.
 
JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. 
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TODAY.  ON THIS TRACK...JERRY WILL REMAIN FAR FROM LAND
AND PASS IN BETWEEN THE AZORES AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED TODAY...AND JERRY
IS FORECAST TO BE ABSORBED BY A LARGER NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM BY TUESDAY MORNING.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...38.6 N...45.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 

WTNT31 KNHC 241459
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112007
1100 AM AST MON SEP 24 2007

..JERRY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION AS IT HEADS FOR COOLER WATERS...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.5 WEST OR ABOUT 945
MILES...1525 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/HR...AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED TODAY AND
TONIGHT...AND JERRY IS FORECAST TO BE ABSORBED BY A LARGER
NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY TUESDAY MORNING.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...39.5 N...44.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 242037
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112007
500 PM AST MON SEP 24 2007

..JERRY EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.7 WEST OR ABOUT 870
MILES...1400 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...37
KM/HR...AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED TODAY AND
TONIGHT...AND JERRY IS FORECAST TO BE ABSORBED BY A LARGER
NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY TUESDAY MORNING.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...41.8 N...42.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 250237
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JERRY ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112007
1100 PM AST MON SEP 24 2007
 
..JERRY DISSIPATES AS IT RACES NORTHEASTWARD...

SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT THE CIRCULATION OF JERRY HAS DISSIPATED
WITHIN A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW.

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE REMNANTS OF JERRY WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 44.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 37.5 WEST OR ABOUT 705 MILES...
1135 KM...NORTHWEST OF THE AZORES.
 
THE REMNANTS OF JERRY ARE MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 40
MPH...65 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.
 
AS JERRY ACCELERATED AND DISSIPATED THIS EVENING...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...44.5 N...37.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 40 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 

