WTNT31 KNHC 210250
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2011
 
...NEW TROPICAL STORM FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.2N 40.1W
ABOUT 1585 MI...2555 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.1 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 210843
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011
 
...OPHELIA MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.7N 41.8W
ABOUT 1370 MI...2205 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH SOME
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 211436
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST WED SEP 21 2011
 
...OPHELIA BECOMES STRONGER AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.0N 43.6W
ABOUT 1245 MI...2005 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.6 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...HOWEVER SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 212031
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST WED SEP 21 2011
 
...OPHELIA CHANGES LITTLE IN STRENGTH...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 44.7W
ABOUT 1165 MI...1875 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.7 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  NOAA BUOY 41041...LOCATED TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OF
THE CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN WINDS OF 38 MPH...
61 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 220240
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST WED SEP 21 2011
 
...OPHELIA CONTINUING WESTWARD ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...CENTER
PASSING SOUTH OF NOAA BUOY 41041...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 46.2W
ABOUT 1065 MI...1715 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OPHELIA.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.2 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR
STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  NOAA BUOY 41041...LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN WINDS OF 51 MPH...
83 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 60 MPH...97 KM/H.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 220853
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 AM AST THU SEP 22 2011
 
...OPHELIA INTENSIFIES A LITTLE BUT FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.4N 47.0W
ABOUT 1020 MI...1640 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.0 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370
KM...MOSTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.  NOAA BUOY 41041...LOCATED
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN WINDS
OF 63 MPH...101 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 78 MPH...126 KM/H.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

WTNT31 KNHC 221431
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST THU SEP 22 2011
 
...OPHELIA DISORGANIZED BUT PRODUCING 65 MPH WINDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 47.6W
ABOUT 975 MI...1570 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.6 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS DUE TO
STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 222032
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST THU SEP 22 2011
 
...OPHELIA REMAINS DISORGANIZED...LIKELY TO WEAKEN SOON...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.8N 48.9W
ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.9 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS DISORGANIZED...AND STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE SOME WEAKENING DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 230241
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST THU SEP 22 2011
 
...OPHELIA WEAKENS...SUCCUMBING TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 49.9W
ABOUT 820 MI...1315 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.9 WEST.  OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ALTHOUGH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT OPHELIA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A
REMNANT LOW OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

WTNT31 KNHC 230851
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 AM AST FRI SEP 23 2011
 
...OPHELIA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.5N 51.0W
ABOUT 740 MI...1190 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.0 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A
MOTION BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND OPHELIA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER
THE WEEKEND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415
KM...MOSTLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

WTNT31 KNHC 231454
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 23 2011
 
...OPHELIA CONTINUING TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES QUICKLY WESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.6N 52.6W
ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.6 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H. A MOTION BETWEEN WEST
AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
OPHELIA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR OVER THE
WEEKEND.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...
415 KM...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
REPORTS FROM A NOAA BUOY JUST WEST OF OPHELIA INDICATE THE ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 232055
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST FRI SEP 23 2011
 
...OPHELIA STRENGTHENS AS IT WOBBLES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.5N 53.8W
ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.8 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY MORNING...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY
SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...
415 KM...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 240253
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 23 2011
 
...OPHELIA FLUCTUATING IN INTENSITY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.0N 54.5W
ABOUT 490 MI...790 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.5 WEST.  OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED EARLY SATURDAY...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
THROUGH LATE SUNDAY.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
PLANE WAS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

WTNT31 KNHC 240847
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 AM AST SAT SEP 24 2011
 
...OPHELIA MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.9N 55.2W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.2 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
ANTICIPATED BY SUNDAY.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415
KM...PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

WTNT31 KNHC 241455
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST SAT SEP 24 2011
 
...OPHELIA CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.8N 56.0W
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.0 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED
BY SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...
415 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 242040
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST SAT SEP 24 2011
 
...OPHELIA WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES ERRATICALLY TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 57.4W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.4 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY
MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 250238
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST SAT SEP 24 2011
 
...OPHELIA STRUGGLING TO SURVIVE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 58.4W
ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.4 WEST. 
OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. 
A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH LATE MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.  HOWEVER...OPHELIA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE AT ANY TIME IF IT NO LONGER HAS A WELL-DEFINED CENTER.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

WTNT31 KNHC 250841
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 AM AST SUN SEP 25 2011
 
...OPHELIA BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 59.5W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.5 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...OPHELIA COULD BECOME A POST-TROPICAL LOW
LATER TODAY IF THUNDERSTORMS DO NOT REDEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 

WTNT31 KNHC 251444
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST SUN SEP 25 2011
 
...OPHELIA MAKES A JOG TOWARD THE WEST BUT EXPECTED TO TURN BACK
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 60.4W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.4 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST
TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS. HOWEVER...OPHELIA COULD BECOME A POST-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE
AREA LATER TODAY IF THUNDERSTORMS DO NOT REDEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...
335 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 272034
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST TUE SEP 27 2011
 
...OPHELIA REGENERATES INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.6N 60.5W
ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM ESE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.5 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY WEDNESDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. 
 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 280251
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 27 2011
 
...OPHELIA EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 59.5W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.5 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. 
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH-NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

WTNT31 KNHC 280831
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 AM AST WED SEP 28 2011
 
...OPHELIA MEANDERING EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 60.0W
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.0 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A
TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN
LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 

WTNT31 KNHC 281430
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST WED SEP 28 2011
 
...OPHELIA BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 59.9W
ABOUT 215 MI...340 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.9 WEST.  OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS.
 
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50
MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 282032
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST WED SEP 28 2011
 
...OPHELIA MOVING AWAY FROM THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 60.6W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.6 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 290248
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST WED SEP 28 2011
 
...OPHELIA A LITTLE STRONGER...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 60.7W
ABOUT 180 MI...285 KM ENE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.7 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND A TRACK TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND OPHELIA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER DATA IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 

WTNT31 KNHC 290858
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 AM AST THU SEP 29 2011
 
...OPHELIA EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 61.1W
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.1 WEST.  OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 291446
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST THU SEP 29 2011
 
...OPHELIA ALMOST A HURRICANE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 61.8W
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM NNE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TO
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD
CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER
TODAY OR FRIDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 292037
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST THU SEP 29 2011
 
...OPHELIA BECOMES THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...  
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.4N 62.3W
ABOUT 770 MI...1235 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.3 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT OPHELIA HAS STRENGTHENED. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. 
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA STARTING
LATE SATURDAY. 

 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 292344
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
800 PM AST THU SEP 29 2011
 
...OPHELIA INTENSIFYING...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.4N 62.1W
ABOUT 770 MI...1235 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.1 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  A TURN TO
THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN ON FRIDAY.
 
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT OPHELIA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA STARTING
LATE SATURDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 300254
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST THU SEP 29 2011
 
...OPHELIA STRENGTHENING...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.9N 62.3W
ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.3 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.  A TURN TO
THE NORTH AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD OCCUR ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA STARTING
LATE SATURDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 300545
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  30A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
200 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
 
...OPHELIA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.0N 62.5W
ABOUT 730 MI...1175 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.5 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.  A TURN TO
THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND OPHELIA COULD BECOME A
CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING
LATE SATURDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 300849
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
 
...OPHELIA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.4N 62.6W
ABOUT 695 MI...1120 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.73 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TO
THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS
EAST OF BERMUDA ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BEACHES OF BERMUDA.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 301138
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
800 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
 
...OPHELIA MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WITH 105 MPH WINDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 62.7W
ABOUT 665 MI...1070 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.7 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TO
THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS
EAST OF BERMUDA ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 301431
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
 
...OPHELIA WITH 115 MPH WINDS...BECOMES THE THIRD MAJOR HURRICANE OF
THE 2011 SEASON...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 62.8W
ABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.  A TURN TO
THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS
EAST OF BERMUDA ON SATURDAY.
 
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND
SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 301741
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
200 PM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
 
...OPHELIA MOVING NORTHWARD WITH 115 MPH WINDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.1N 62.9W
ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST. OPHELIA IS
NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BRINGING THE CORE OF OPHELIA EAST OF
BERMUDA ON SATURDAY. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN
LATE SATURDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 302042
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
 
...OPHELIA MOVING NORTHWARD A LITTLE FASTER WITH 115 MPH WINDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 63.0W
ABOUT 535 MI...865 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST. OPHELIA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CORE OF OPHELIA EAST OF BERMUDA LATE
SATURDAY. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN THEREAFTER.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 302353
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  33A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
800 PM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
 
...OPHELIA BECOMES STRONGER AS IT MOVES FASTER TO THE NORTH...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 63.0W
ABOUT 480 MI...770 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST. OPHELIA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BRINGING THE CORE
OF OPHELIA EAST OF BERMUDA LATE SATURDAY. A TURN TO THE NORTH-
NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN BY SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND
SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 010247
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST FRI SEP 30 2011
 
...OPHELIA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWARD...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR NOAA
BUOY 41049 OVERNIGHT...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 63.1W
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BRINGING THE CORE OF
OPHELIA EAST OF BERMUDA LATE SATURDAY.  A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING.  
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.  NOAA BUOY 41049...LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES TO THE
NORTH OF OPHELIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A 1 MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND OF
45 MPH...72 KM/H...WITH A PEAK GUST TO 54 MPH...86 KM/H.  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 010542
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  34A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
200 AM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
 
...MAJOR HURRICANE OPHELIA MOVING NORTHWARD...EXPECTED TO PASS 
OVER NOAA BUOY 41049 SOON... 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 63.1W
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB...28.23 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST. OPHELIA 
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BRINGING THE CORE 
OF OPHELIA EAST OF BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  A TURN TO
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.  NOAA BUOY 41049...LOCATED ABOUT 40 MILES TO THE
NORTH OF OPHELIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A ONE-MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND OF
52 MPH...83 KM/H...WITH A PEAK GUST TO 61 MPH...98 KM/H.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY THIS
AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.  NOAA BUOY
41049 RECENTLY REPORTED WAVE HEIGHTS OF AT LEAST 25 FEET.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 010853
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 AM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
 
...MAJOR HURRICANE OPHELIA PASSES DIRECTLY OVER NOAA BUOY 41049...
EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.7N 63.1W
ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.1 WEST. OPHELIA 
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BRINGING THE CORE
OF OPHELIA EAST OF BERMUDA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  A TURN TO
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.  THE EYE OF OPHELIA RECENTLY PASSED DIRECTLY OVER
NOAA BUOY 41049...AND THE BUOY REPORTED A ONE-MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND
OF 96 MPH...155 KM/H...WITH A PEAK GUST TO 116 MPH...187 KM/H.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES...BASED ON
REPORTS FROM NOAA BUOY 41049 LOCATED IN THE CENTER OF THE EYE.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY THIS
AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.  NOAA BUOY
41049 RECENTLY REPORTED WAVE HEIGHTS OF MORE THAN 40 FEET.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 011133
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  35A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
800 AM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
 
...HURRICANE OPHELIA CONTINUES ON A NORTHWARD HEADING WITH 120 MPH
WINDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 63.0W
ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST. OPHELIA
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H.  ON THIS TRACK THE
THE CORE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WILL PASS EAST OF BERMUDA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN
ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY THIS
AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.  
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 011443
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
 
...CORE OF INTENSE HURRICANE OPHELIA EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF
BERMUDA LATER TODAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.5N 62.9W
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE AVALON PENINSULA IN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST. OPHELIA HAS
INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR
21 MPH...33 KM/H. ON THIS TRACK THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS
EAST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY.  A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD
BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  OPHELIA IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE AVALON PENINSULA IN
NEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
TODAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY THIS
AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 011733
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  36A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
200 PM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
 
...EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA OBSERVED ON BERMUDA RADAR...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.4N 62.9W
ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE AVALON PENINSULA IN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H. ON THIS TRACK THE
CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS EAST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY.  A
TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED.  OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH
OF THE AVALON PENINSULA IN NEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
TODAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. A
DRIFTING BUOY NEAR THE EYE OF OPHELIA REPORTED A MINIMUM PRESSURE
OF 959.7 MB...28.34 INCHES...A FEW HOURS AGO.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY THIS
AFTERNOON.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 012033
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
 
...EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OF BERMUDA IN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...HEAVY SQUALLS APPROACHING...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.6N 62.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM ESE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
ENTIRE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE DISTINCT EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H. ON THIS TRACK THE
CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS EAST OF BERMUDA DURING THE SEVERAL
HOURS. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE
AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY
TONIGHT...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA THIS
EVENING AS SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW HEAVY SQUALLS APPROACHING THE
ISLAND.  TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA EARLY MONDAY.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA.
 
RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED
ON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 012340
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  37A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
800 PM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
 
...OPHELIA INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AS IT PASSES
EAST OF BERMUDA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.5N 62.4W
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM E OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...944 MB...27.88 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
BY BERMUDA RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST.
OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED. OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY.
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA
IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND
SCALE.  GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY...WITH RAPID
WEAKENING LIKELY BY LATE SUNDAY.  
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 944 MB...27.88 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA EARLY MONDAY.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA.

 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 020252
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST SAT OCT 01 2011
 
...OPHELIA MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD WITH 140 MPH WINDS... 

 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.8N 62.2W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM NE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 1010 MI...1625 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST. OPHELIA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-
NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY.
THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE AVALON PENINSULA
OF NEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY.
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA
IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND
SCALE. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN BY EARLY SUNDAY...WITH A
RAPID WEAKENING EXPECTED FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.  

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA BY EARLY MONDAY.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 020538
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  38A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
200 AM AST SUN OCT 02 2011
 
...OPHELIA MOVING NORTHWARD AS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.9N 62.0W
ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM NE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 935 MI...1510 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST. OPHELIA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-
NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN LATER
TODAY. THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY.
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN
NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY
FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL
WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN LATER TODAY...WITH MORE RAPID WEAKENING
EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA BY EARLY MONDAY.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 020835
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 AM AST SUN OCT 02 2011
 
...OPHELIA WEAKENS BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT MOVES
QUICKLY NORTHWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.2N 61.8W
ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM NNE OF BERMUDA
ABOUT 855 MI...1370 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 29 MPH...46 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN
LATER TODAY. THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE
AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY.
HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT
PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA ON MONDAY.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA BY EARLY MONDAY.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
TODAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 021146
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  39A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
800 AM AST SUN OCT 02 2011
 
...OPHELIA TURNS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.5N 61.2W
ABOUT 760 MI...1220 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 30 MPH...48 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/H...AND THIS 
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE
AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY.
HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT
PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA ON MONDAY.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA BY EARLY MONDAY.
 
SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF
CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
TODAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 021444
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 AM AST SUN OCT 02 2011
 
...OPHELIA WEAKENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.7N 60.9W
ABOUT 680 MI...1095 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.9 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 31 MPH...50 KM/H...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST ON
MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED
TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY
MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS
FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY.  HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR
HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA. 
OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SHORTLY AFTER
PASSING SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA BY EARLY MONDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 021746
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  40A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
200 PM AST SUN OCT 02 2011
 
...OPHELIA MOVING FASTER AS IT HEADS TOWARD SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...40.3N 60.3W
ABOUT 570 MI...920 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 33 MPH...54 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.3 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 33 MPH...54 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST ON MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS
FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY.  HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR
HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA.
OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SHORTLY AFTER
PASSING SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185
MILES...295 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA BY EARLY MONDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 022042
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 PM AST SUN OCT 02 2011
 
...CENTER OF OPHELIA EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.6N 59.9W
ABOUT 485 MI...785 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 33 MPH...54 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.9 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 33 MPH...54 KM/H.  A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST ON MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.  STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST
THROUGH MONDAY.  HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE
STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA. OPHELIA IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SHORTLY AFTER PASSING
SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260
MILES...415 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.47 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.
 
RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 022343
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  41A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
800 PM AST SUN OCT 02 2011
 
...OPHELIA WEAKENING AS IT MOVES QUICKLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...42.4N 59.8W
ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 33 MPH...54 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.8 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 33 MPH...54 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE
NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON
PENINSULA. OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
SHORTLY AFTER PASSING SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
260 MILES...415 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENT
CANADA BUOY 44141...LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...EAST-
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF OPHELIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED
WIND OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 54 MPH...86 KM/H.
SABLE ISLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 39 MPH...63 KM/H. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.
 
RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 030238
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1100 PM AST SUN OCT 02 2011
 
...OPHELIA EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE AVALON PENINSULA OF
NEWFOUNDLAND EARLY MONDAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...43.9N 58.6W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 33 MPH...54 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 43.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 33 MPH...54 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED
TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND MONDAY
MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BE A
STRONG TROPICAL STORM WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALON PENINSULA.
OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE BY LATE
MONDAY.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES...370 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENT
CANADA BUOY 44141 RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 60 MPH...96
KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 78 MPH...126 KM/H...AS THE CENTER OF
OPHELIA PASSED ABOUT 50 MILES...85 KM...WEST OF THE BUOY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB...28.76 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.
 
RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
SURF...LARGE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY OPHELIA WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND OVERNIGHT AND INTO
MONDAY...CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 030555
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  42A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
200 AM AST MON OCT 03 2011
 
...OPHELIA EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AVALON PENINSULA OF
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...45.5N 56.5W
ABOUT 185 MI...295 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 43 MPH...69 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.5 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 43 MPH...69 KM/H. A TURN
TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA OF
NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. HOWEVER...OPHELIA SHOULD BE A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM WHEN IT PASSES OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA. OPHELIA IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...MAINLY
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM...MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTH
OF THE CENTER. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA THIS MORNING.
 
RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
SURF...LARGE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY OPHELIA WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY...CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI
 

WTNT31 KNHC 030853
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
500 AM AST MON OCT 03 2011
 
...OPHELIA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT RACES TOWARD THE AVALON
PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND....
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...46.5N 54.2W
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 43 MPH...69 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.2 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 43 MPH...69 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
EAST-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO
PASS OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAS DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND OPHELIA
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...
370 KM...PRIMARILY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA THIS MORNING.
 
RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
SURF...LARGE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY OPHELIA WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY...CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 

WTNT31 KNHC 031147
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  43A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
800 AM AST MON OCT 03 2011
 
...CENTER OF OPHELIA TO PASS OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...STRONGEST WINDS LIKELY TO REMAIN OFFSHORE...

 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...47.1N 54.3W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM WNW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE
CENTER OF OPHELIA IS LOCATED TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE EARLIER
POSITION. 

AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.3 WEST. OPHELIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 35 MPH...56 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE
EAST-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA WILL PASS OVER
THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND OPHELIA
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...
370 KM...PRIMARILY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON
PENINSULA THIS MORNING.
 
RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
SURF...LARGE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY OPHELIA WILL AFFECT
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY...CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 

