WTNT31 KNHC 152039
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM AST FRI AUG 15 2008

...TROPICAL STORM FAY FORMS...SIXTH ATLANTIC STORM OF THE SEASON...

REPORTS FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE MONA PASSAGE BECAME A
TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVED INTO THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FOR
THE ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND FOR THE SOUTH
COAST EAST OF SAN PEDRO DE MACORIS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM GONAIVES
NORTHWARD.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO
DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST OR ABOUT 35
MILES... 55 KM...EAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND
ABOUT 395 MILES...635 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CROSS
HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...AND PASS NEAR OR OVER EASTERN
CUBA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. 
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...18.5 N...69.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 152338
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 PM AST FRI AUG 15 2008
 
...TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS HISPANIOLA... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH
COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND FOR THE SOUTH COAST EAST OF SAN
PEDRO DE MACORIS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR
THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM GONAIVES NORTHWARD...FOR THE TURK AND
CAICOS ISLANDS AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...
SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
ESTIMATED TO BE INLAND OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR LATITUDE 18.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES... 55 KM...
WEST-NORTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT
335 MILES...540 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. 
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...AND PASS NEAR OR OVER
EASTERN CUBA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
 
SHIP OBERVATIONS AND DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT
THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURING MAINLY OVER
WATER TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CENTER OF FAY IS OVER HISPANIOLA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...18.6 N...70.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 160237
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM AST FRI AUG 15 2008
 
...FAY MOVING WESTWARD...APPROACHING HAITI...

AT 11 PM AST...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN
EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO PORT AU PRINCE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM PORT AU PRINCE NORTHWARD ALONG THE
ENTIRE NORTH COAST.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND FOR THE SOUTH COAST EAST OF SAN PEDRO DE
MACORIS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURK AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST OR ABOUT
100 MILES...160 KM...EAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 305
MILES...490 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. ON THIS 
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL MOVE ACROSS HAITI EARLY
SATURDAY...AND WILL BE MOVING VERY NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF EASTERN
AND CENTRAL CUBA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  FAY COULD WEAKEN SOME WHILE MOVING OVER LAND BUT SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHEN THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER ON
SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165
KM...PRIMARILY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SANTO DOMINGO
RECENTLY REPORTED GUSTS TO 40 MPH...65 KM/HR.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.  THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...18.7 N...70.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 160554
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM AST SAT AUG 16 2008
 
...FAY CONTINUING WESTWARD OVER HISPANIOLA...
 
AT 200 AM AST...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN
EXTENDED AROUND THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI TO THE SOUTHERN
BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND FOR THE SOUTH COAST EAST OF SAN PEDRO DE
MACORIS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...95 KM...EAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 260
MILES...415 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL MOVE ACROSS HAITI THIS MORNING...AND
WILL BE MOVING NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA
ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  FAY COULD WEAKEN SOME WHILE MOVING OVER HISPANIOLA THIS
MORNING...BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AND ON
SUNDAY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165
KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM AST POSITION...18.7 N...71.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 

WTNT31 KNHC 160852
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008

...FAY WILL CROSS HAITI AND EMERGE OVER WATER LATER TODAY...
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM EAST OF CABO FRANCES VIEJO ON THE
NORTHERN COAST TO SAN PEDRO DE MACORIS ON THE SOUTHERN COAST HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE PROVINCES OF CENTRAL CUBA
WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES... 35 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT
235 MILES...375 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
OF FAY WILL MOVE ACROSS HAITI THIS MORNING...AND WILL BE MOVING
NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY.
 
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
FAY COULD WEAKEN SLIGHTLY WHILE MOVING OVER HISPANIOLA THIS
MORNING...BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AND ON
SUNDAY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...JAMAICA...AND
THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...18.7 N...72.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 

WTNT31 KNHC 161138
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008
 
...FAY DUMPING HEAVY RAINS OVER HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...

AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF
HAITI...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND GRANMA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE PROVINCES OF CENTRAL CUBA
WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...JAMAICA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST OR ABOUT 35
MILES... 55 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT
170 MILES...275 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
OF FAY WILL MOVE ACROSS HAITI THIS MORNING...AND WILL BE MOVING
NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  FAY COULD WEAKEN SLIGHTLY WHILE MOVING OVER HAITI THIS
MORNING...BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AND ON
SUNDAY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...JAMAICA...AND
THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...18.8 N...72.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 

WTNT31 KNHC 161435
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008

...CENTER OF FAY MOVING WESTWARD AWAY FROM HAITI...NEW WARNINGS AND
WATCHES ISSUED...
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...
AND SANCTI SPIRITUS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...AND HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO IS IN EFFECT
FOE THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND
GUANTANMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE ENTIRE COAST OF
HAITI.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA.  ALSO....THE GOVERNMENT OF THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.7 WEST OR ABOUT 95
MILES...155 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT
130 MILES...205 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY
WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND FAY COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES
CENTRAL CUBA ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...JAMAICA...AND
THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...19.0 N...73.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 161743
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008
 
...CENTER OF FAY MOVING WESTWARD BETWEEN HAITI AND CUBA...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND SANCTI SPIRITUS.  A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND
GUANTANMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE
ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST OR ABOUT
50 MILES...80 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA AND ABOUT
175 MILES...280 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY
WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND FAY COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES
CENTRAL CUBA ON SUNDAY.  AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE FAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...JAMAICA...AND
THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...19.2 N...74.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 162040
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008

...FAY WEAKER BUT RE-ORGANIZING SOUTH OF EASTERN CUBA...NEW WARNINGS
AND WATCHES FOR CUBA...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS...AND
MATANZAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND SANCTI SPIRITUS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA AND
SANCTI SPIRITUS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS CANCELED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.  ALSO AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR HAITI IS CANCELED NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF
HAITI.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST OR ABOUT 225
MILES...365 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 60 MILES...100
KM...SOUTH OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR.  A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN
AND CENTRAL CUBA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA
SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT FAY HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR
40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND FAY COULD BE APPROACHING
HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT NEARS WESTERN CUBA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...JAMAICA...AND
THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA AND THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS...WHILE
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...19.3 N...75.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 162348
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 PM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008
 
...FAY MOVING WESTWARD BETWEEN JAMAICA AND EASTERN CUBA...
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI...AND FOR CUBA...FROM THE PROVINCE OF SANCTI
SPIRITUS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO. 

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
JAMAICA...AND GRAND CAYMAN.
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR ABOUT 200
MILES...320 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 60 MILES...100
KM...SOUTHWEST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.
 
FAY HAS SLOWED DOWN A LITTLE BIT AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST
NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST
AND NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL BE
MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA SUNDAY NIGHT OR
MONDAY.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...70KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA TO THE EAST
OF THE CENTER. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT FAY IS BECOMING A
LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. STRENGTHENING COULD BEGIN TONIGHT OR
SUNDAY AND FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT NEARS
WESTERN CUBA. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH FAY ARE ALREADY
AFFECTING THE BAHAMAS AND ARE APPROACHING THE FLORIDA STRAITS.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...JAMAICA...AND
THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA AND GRAND CAYMAN. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...19.3 N...75.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 170246
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008
 
...FAY EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ON SUNDAY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR
CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.3 WEST OR ABOUT 175
MILES...280 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 100 MILES...
165 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA SUNDAY...AND WILL BE
NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND 
FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT NEARS WESTERN
CUBA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  GUANTANAMO CUBA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 44 MPH...71 KM/HR WITH GUSTS TO 52 MPH...83 KM/HR.  RAINBANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY ARE AFFECTING THE BAHAMAS AND ARE APPROACHING
THE FLORIDA STRAITS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HAITI...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...JAMAICA...AND
THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER GRAND CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS. 
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...19.4 N...76.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 170555
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
 
...FAY STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT TURNS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR
CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.8 WEST OR ABOUT 140
MILES...230 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...20 KM/HR. A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
EXPECTED ON MONDAY. FAY IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING VERY NEAR THE
SOUTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY...CROSS CENTRAL CUBA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND
EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO OR FLORIDA STRAITS ON
MONDAY.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
FAY COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES CENTRAL
CUBA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HAITI...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...JAMAICA...AND
THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER GRAND CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...19.6 N...76.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/RHOME
 

WTNT31 KNHC 170858
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
 
...WATCHES ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE
DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM
CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO BONITA BEACH.  A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR
CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EEFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.3 WEST OR ABOUT 125
MILES...200 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 445
MILES...715 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE
SOUTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY...CROSS CENTRAL CUBA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT...AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO OR THE
FLORIDA STRAITS ON MONDAY.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES CENTRAL
CUBA.  ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS FAY CROSSES CUBA...FAY
IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE NORTHERN CAYMAN
ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER GRAND
CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. RAINS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER HAITI TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...19.7 N...77.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/RHOME
 

WTNT31 KNHC 171150
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
 
...CENTER OF FAY NEAR CABO CRUZ IN SOUTHEASTERN CUBA......WARNINGS
AND WATCHES EXTENDED WESTWARD IN CUBA...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF
OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA
BAY...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE
WESTWARD TO BONITA BEACH.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
 
AT 8 AT EDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD LA HABANA. 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA AND CIUDAD LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING WESTWARD TO INCLUDE THE PROVINCES OF
CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...LA HABANA...AND CIUDAD LA
HABANA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CUBA
FROM THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD LA HABAMA EASTWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND
LITTLE CAYMAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.0 WEST OR ABOUT
100 MILES...160 KM...SOUTH OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 395 MILES...
635 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY. FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE
SOUTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY...CROSS CENTRAL CUBA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...
AND EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO OR THE FLORIDA
STRAITS ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES CENTRAL
CUBA.  ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS FAY CROSSES CUBA...FAY
IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE NORTHERN CAYMAN
ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER GRAND
CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. RAINS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER HAITI TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...20.0 N...78.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 171441
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...FAY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD SOUTH OF CUBA...NEW WARNINGS AND
WATCHES IN FLORIDA...
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE
WATCH IS IN NOW EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF OCEAN
REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO ANNA
MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO
GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES...125 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 350 MILES...
560 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.  A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...WITH
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON MONDAY.  FAY IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY...CROSS WESTERN CUBA
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING...AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA
KEYS MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES WESTERN
CUBA.  ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS FAY CROSSES CUBA...FAY
IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  CABO CRUZ CUBA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 66
MPH...107 KM/HR.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE NORTHERN CAYMAN
ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER GRAND
CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.  HEAVY RAIN
MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY
AND INTO MONDAY.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH
FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...20.5 N...78.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 171751
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
 
...FAY MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH
OF OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA
BAY...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE
WESTWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO
GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA IS
DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST OR ABOUT
135 MILES...215 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 285
MILES...460 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...FAY HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...27 KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
AND A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...
WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON MONDAY.  FAY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY...CROSS WESTERN CUBA
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING...AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA
KEYS MONDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES WESTERN
CUBA.  ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE AS FAY CROSSES CUBA...FAY
IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE NORTHERN CAYMAN
ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER GRAND
CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.  HEAVY RAIN
MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY
AND INTO MONDAY.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH
FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...20.8 N...79.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 171754
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...CORRECTED TO ADD AIRCRAFT PRESSURE...
 
...FAY MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH
OF OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA
BAY...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE
WESTWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO
GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA IS
DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST OR ABOUT
135 MILES...215 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 285
MILES...460 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...FAY HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...27 KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
AND A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...
WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON MONDAY.  FAY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY...CROSS WESTERN CUBA
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING...AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA
KEYS MONDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT REACHES WESTERN
CUBA.  ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE AS FAY CROSSES CUBA...FAY
IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE
FLORIDA KEYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...JAMAICA...AND THE NORTHERN CAYMAN
ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER GRAND
CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.  HEAVY RAIN
MAY BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA LATER TODAY
AND INTO MONDAY.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH
FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...20.8 N...79.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 172040
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
 
...FAY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD SOUTH OF CENTRAL CUBA...MORE
CHANGES TO THE WARNINGS AND WATCHES...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO TARPON SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE
WATCH IS IN NOW EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF OCEAN
REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO TARPON
SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
AT 5 PM...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND ISLA DE LA
JUVENTUD...AND HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF LAS TUNAS EASTWARD.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM
CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND
LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST OR ABOUT 205
MILES...335 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 270 MILES...435
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.  A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED MONDAY OR MONDAY
NIGHT.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY IS EXPECTED CROSS WESTERN CUBA
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING...AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA
KEYS MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT
REACHES WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT AND WHEN IT APPROACHES THE FLORIDA
KEYS MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST
OF CUBA IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
WINDS.  TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA
KEYS IN THE WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY OVER THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER GRAND CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  HEAVY RAIN MAY
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND INTO
MONDAY.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...21.0 N...80.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 172345
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008
 
...FAY MOVING SLOWER...HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF
OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA
BAY...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE
WESTWARD TO TARPON SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM
CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND
LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST OR ABOUT 200
MILES...330 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 265 MILES...430
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
FAY HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY AND SOMEWHAT ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED MONDAY
OR MONDAY NIGHT.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY IS EXPECTED CROSS
WESTERN CUBA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING...AND MOVE NEAR
THE FLORIDA KEYS MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT
REACHES WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY AND WHEN IT APPROACHES
THE FLORIDA KEYS LATE MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF CUBA IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE WINDS.  TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY OVER THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER GRAND CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  HEAVY RAIN MAY
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND INTO
MONDAY.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...21.0 N...80.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
 

WTNT31 KNHC 180240
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...FAY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...SOON TO MOVE OVER CUBA...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF
TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO
TARPON SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM
CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND
LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
AT  11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
EASTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA KEYS TO OCEAN REEF.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF
TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR ABOUT 170
MILES...275 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 235 MILES...375
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 1 TO 2 DAYS.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS WESTERN CUBA EARLY ON
MONDAY AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS MONDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER CROSSES
CUBA...AND FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT
NEARS THE FLORIDA KEYS MONDAY NIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF CUBA IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE WINDS.  TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER GRAND CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  HEAVY RAIN MAY
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND INTO
MONDAY.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...21.4 N...80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS
 

WTNT31 KNHC 180616
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
 
...FAY NEAR THE COAST OF CUBA...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF
TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO
TARPON SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM
CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND
LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA
BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT
110 MILES...180 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 180
MILES...305 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 1 TO 2 DAYS.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS WESTERN CUBA THIS
MORNING AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS MONDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES
CUBA...AND FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT
NEARS THE FLORIDA KEYS MONDAY NIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
STORM TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF CUBA IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE WINDS.  TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN THE WARNING AREA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER GRAND CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  HEAVY RAIN MAY
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND INTO
MONDAY.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...21.9 N...81.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 180850
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
 
...FAY CROSSING CENTRAL CUBA...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED FOR SOUTH
FLORIDA...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
SOUTH OF OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND
FLORIDA BAY.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF
JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF
OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA
BAY...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE
WESTWARD TO TARPON SPRINGS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM
CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND
LITTLE CAYMAN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED INLAND OVER CENTRAL CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 22.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 155 MILES ...250
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. 
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
TURN TO THE NORTH EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.  THE CENTER OF FAY SHOULD BE
EMERGING INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS LATER THIS MORNING...AND BE VERY
NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THE CENTER OF FAY
EMERGES OVER WATER.  FAY IS FORECAST TO BE APPROACHING HURRICANE
STRENGTH IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE IT
REACHES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA. 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY.
TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...22.5 N...80.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BERG
 

WTNT31 KNHC 181149
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
 
...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS FAY IS A LITTLE STRONGER...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO
KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF
OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA
BAY...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE
WESTWARD TO TARPON SPRINGS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO
SEBASTIAN INLET.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM
CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED
FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN COAST OF WESTERN CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 23.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST OR JUST NORTHEAST OF VARADERO CUBA. 
THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 80 MILES...125 KM...EAST OF HAVANA CUBA
AND ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
TURN TO THE NORTH EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.  THE CENTER OF FAY SHOULD BE
EMERGING INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND BE
VERY NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 60 MPH...100 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER OF
FAY MOVES OVER WATER.  FAY IS FORECAST TO BE APPROACHING HURRICANE
STRENGTH IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE IT
REACHES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY.
TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...23.2 N...81.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/FRANKLIN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 181438
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 AM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...CENTER OF FAY NOW OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS...HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO COCOA BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM COCOA BEACH
SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST EAST OF FLAMINGO...
INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA TO TARPON SPRINGS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF COCOA BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR CUBA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 65
MILES...100 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.  A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY SHOULD BE NEAR
THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT...AND NEAR THE SOUTHWEST
COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND FAY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE
SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST ON TUESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE BEING
REPORTED IN SOME PARTS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST
OF FLORIDA.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY.  TIDES OF 2
TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...23.6 N...81.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 181754
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
 
...CENTER OF FAY APPROACHING KEY WEST...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
SPREADING INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM COCOA BEACH SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST EAST
OF FLAMINGO...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON
SPRINGS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF COCOA BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST OR ABOUT
20 MILES...30 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...23 KM/HR.  A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY SHOULD PASS OVER
THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND BE NEAR THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND FAY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE
SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST ON TUESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION AT SOMBRERO KEY FLORIDA
RECENTLY REPORTED 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 52 MPH...83 KM/HR...
AND A WIND GUST OF 62 MPH...100 KM/HR...AT AN ELEVATION OF 159
FEET.  KEY WEST RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 47 MPH...76 KM/HR.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1002 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY.  TIDES OF 2
TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...24.3 N...81.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 182041
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH
SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON
SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS...AND FOR THE FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD
SOUND BRIDGE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST OR NEAR KEY WEST
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...SOUTH OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF FAY AWAY
FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF FLORIDA ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...AND FAY IS
FORECAST TO BE AT OR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION AT SOMBRERO KEY FLORIDA
RECENTLY REPORTED 2-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 60 MPH...96 KM/HR...AND
AN ELEVATION OF 159 FEET.  THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION AT SAND KEY
FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 71 MPH...115 KM/HR...AT AN
ELEVATION OF 149 FT.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE
IN KEY WEST IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY.  TIDES OF 2
TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF CUBA...WITH STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES BEING POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE
THREATENING FLASH-FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...ARE
POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS..AND
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...24.6 N...81.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 182353
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...FAY HEADED NORTHWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON SPRINGS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND FOR THE
FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES...170 KM...SOUTH OF NAPLES FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN
COAST OF FLORIDA ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...AND FAY IS
FORECAST TO BE AT OR NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY.  TIDES OF 2
TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF CUBA...WITH STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES BEING POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE
THREATENING FLASH-FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...ARE
POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY OVER SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...25.0 N...81.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/RHOME
 

WTNT31 KNHC 190253
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...FAY CONTINUES HEADING FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON SPRINGS IS DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND FOR THE
FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...95 KM...SOUTH OF NAPLES FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A
SLIGHTLY EAST OF NORTH MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. 
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CROSS THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INLAND OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA LATER ON
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  FAY COULD STILL APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.  WEAKENING IS LIKELY WHILE FAY MOVES OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  A WIND GUST OF 59 MPH...94 KM/HR...WAS RECENTLY
REPORTED AT AN ELEVATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SITE AT FLAMINGO.
 
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY.  TIDES OF 2
TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF CUBA...WITH STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES BEING POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE
THREATENING FLASH-FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...ARE
POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY OVER SOUTHERN
AND CENTRAL FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...25.3 N...81.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/RHOME
 

WTNT31 KNHC 190558
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
 
...NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH YET AS FAY APPROACHES THE SOUTHWEST COAST
OF FLORIDA......
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON SPRINGS...ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY
WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST OR ABOUT 45
MILES...70 KM...SOUTH OF NAPLES FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...12 KM/HR.  A MOTION JUST
EAST OF DUE NORTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL...WITH A
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL REACH THE COAST OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE INLAND OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY
AND TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  FAY COULD STILL APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.  WEAKENING IS LIKELY WHILE FAY MOVES OVER THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 MPH WERE RECENTLY REPORTED
AT THE CMAN STATION AT MOLASSES REEF.
 
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY.  TIDES OF 2
TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF CUBA...WITH STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES BEING POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE
THREATENING FLASH-FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...ARE
POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA.  RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...25.5 N...81.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 190852
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
 
...FAY MAKING LANDFALL AT CAPE ROMANO...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD...
INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN
REEF TO THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.  ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ELSEWHERE ARE DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST...ON THE FLORIDA
COASTLINE AT CAPE ROMANO...OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 90 KM...SOUTH OF
FT. MYERS FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...TAKING THE CENTER OF FAY
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.  A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS FAY MOVES INLAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS
989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY.  TIDES OF 2
TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...25.9 N...81.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 191146
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
 
...FAY MOVING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD...
INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN
REEF TO THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED INLAND IN SOUTH FLORIDA NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50
KM...EAST SOUTH OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA AND 35 MILES...55 KM SOUTHWEST
OF MOORE HAVEN ON THE WEST SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...TAKING THE CENTER OF FAY
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.  A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS FAY MOVES FARTHER INLAND
TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY.  
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...26.5 N...81.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 191150
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
 
..CORRECTION FOR LOCATION FROM FT MYERS

...FAY MOVING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD...
INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN
REEF TO THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF
TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED INLAND IN SOUTH FLORIDA NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 30 MILES...50
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA AND 35 MILES...55 KM
SOUTHWEST OF MOORE HAVEN ON THE WEST SIDE OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...TAKING THE CENTER OF FAY
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.  A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS FAY MOVES FARTHER INLAND
TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY.  
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...26.5 N...81.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 191444
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...FAY IS NOT IN A HURRY TO CROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA...FLORIDA KEYS SOUTHWEST OF OCEAN REEF...AND
FLORIDA BAY HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.3 WEST OR ABOUT 30
MILES... 50 KM...EAST OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA AND...20 MILES...30 KM
SOUTHWEST OF MOORE HAVEN ON THE WEST SIDE OF LAKE OKECHOBBE.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IN EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...FAY SHOULD MOVE OVER WATER NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NORTH
FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  FAY SHOULD WEAKEN TODAY AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND. SOME
RESTRENGHTENING IS EXPECTED ONCE FAY MOVES BACK OVER WATER.  
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA..WITH
MAXIMUM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.  
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE 
FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...26.7 N...81.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 PM EDT AND 300 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 500 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 191658
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
100 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
 
...FAY REFUSES TO WEAKEN...STRONG WINDS BATTERING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 100 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST. THIS
POSITIONS IS VERY NEAR MOORE HAVEN FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IN EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...FAY SHOULD MOVE OVER WATER NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NORTH
FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY.
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 65 MPH...105 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TODAY AS FAY MOVES INLAND OVER
FLORIDA.  SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED ONCE FAY MOVES BACK OVER
WATER.  

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER. AN UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATION OF 65 MPH...105 KM/HR
WITH A GUST OF 78 MPH...125 KM/HR WAS MEASURED IN MOORE HAVEN.  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA..WITH
MAXIMUM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 100 PM EDT POSITION...26.8 N...81.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 300 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT31 KNHC 191900
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
300 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
 
...FAY CONTINUES TO BATTER THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE AREA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ADJUSTED LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 300 PM EDT...1900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES...30 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF OKEECHOBEE FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH AND A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IN EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...FAY SHOULD MOVE OVER WATER NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NORTH
FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY.
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR DATA CONTINUE TO INDICATE THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...105 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS FAY MOVES INLAND OVER FLORIDA.  SOME
RESTRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED WHEN FAY MOVES OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
ON WEDNESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER. AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF A WIND GUST OF 78 MPH...125
KM/HR...WAS MEASURED OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE
DURING THE PAST HOUR.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA..WITH
MAXIMUM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 300 PM EDT POSITION...27.1 N...81.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/AVILA
 
 

WTNT31 KNHC 192042
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...FAY HEADING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA... 
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST FROM JUPITER SOUTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...
GEORGIA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...
95 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13
KM/HR....AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED
ON WEDNESDAY. THIS TRACK SHOULD BRING FAY OVER WATER NEAR THE EAST
COAST OF NORTH FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT STATION ALONG THE
CENTRAL KISSIMMEE RIVER RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 60
MPH...97 KM/HR.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA..WITH
MAXIMUM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL 
FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...27.3 N...81.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM EDT AND 900 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 192254
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
700 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
 
...FAY CONTINUING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 700 PM EDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...
75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/HR....AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT.  A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED
ON WEDNESDAY.  THIS TRACK SHOULD BRING FAY OVER WATER NEAR THE EAST
COAST OF NORTH FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF THE
EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 700 PM EDT POSITION...27.5 N...80.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 900 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/RHOME
 

WTNT31 KNHC 200055
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
900 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008
 
...FAY SLOWS DOWN AND WEAKENS OVER EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...GEORGIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 900 PM EDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...
75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA.
 
FAY HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS BUT A
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR....IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.  THIS TRACK SHOULD BRING
FAY OVER WATER ON WEDNESDAY.
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60
MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT BUT FAY WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO RESTRENGTHEN WHEN
IT MOVES OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF THE
EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 900 PM EDT POSITION...27.5 N...80.9 W. 
MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/RHOME
 

WTNT31 KNHC 200241
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...FAY WEAKENS SOME MORE WHILE OVER FLORIDA..

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...GEORGIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 30
MILES... 45 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7
KM/HR...OVERNIGHT.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY
WILL MOVE JUST OFFSHORE OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS ON WEDNESDAY.  FAY
IS LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-CENTRAL
FLORIDA COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.  
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50
MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT BUT FAY WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO RESTRENGTHEN WHEN
IT MOVES OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS ON WEDNESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...27.7 N...80.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 200055
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
900 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...FAY SLOWS DOWN AND WEAKENS OVER EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 900 PM EDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...
75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

FAY HAS MOVED LITTLE OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS BUT A
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR....IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.  THIS TRACK SHOULD BRING
FAY OVER WATER ON WEDNESDAY.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60
MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT BUT FAY WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO RESTRENGTHEN WHEN
IT MOVES OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF THE
EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 900 PM EDT POSITION...27.5 N...80.9 W.
MOVEMENT...NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/RHOME




WTNT31 KNHC 200241
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...FAY WEAKENS SOME MORE WHILE OVER FLORIDA..

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 30
MILES... 45 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7
KM/HR...OVERNIGHT.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY
WILL MOVE JUST OFFSHORE OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS ON WEDNESDAY.  FAY
IS LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-CENTRAL
FLORIDA COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50
MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME FURTHER WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT BUT FAY WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO RESTRENGTHEN WHEN
IT MOVES OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...27.7 N...80.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




WTNT31 KNHC 200548
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY FINALLY REACHING THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED ON THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE 27.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 5 MILES...10 KM NORTHWEST OF
SEBASTIAN FLORIDA AND ABOUT 15 MILES... 25 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
MELBOURNE FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.  A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS AS FAY MOVES OVER THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS.  FAY IS
LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA
COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL RESTRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED AS FAY MOVES OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS LATER TODAY AND
THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...27.9 N...80.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 200855
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL
FLORIDA...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED NORTHWARD...
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR
MELBOURNE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 15 MILES... 20 KM...SOUTH OF CAPE
CANAVERAL FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND FAY IS
LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MOSTLY OVER WATER WELL TO THE EAST OF
THE CENTER.  SOME GRADUAL RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE FAY MOVES BACK INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA ON THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...28.2 N...80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 201142
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008
 
...CENTER OF FAY NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER
INLET FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR CAPE
CANAVERAL FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND FAY IS
LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.
 
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45
MPH...70 KM/HR..WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MOSTLY
OVER WATER WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SOME GRADUAL
RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE FAY
MOVES BACK INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA ON THURSDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AB AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...28.5 N...80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 201444
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY DRIFTING NORTHWARD DRENCHING PORTIONS OF FLORIDA...
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF FORT PIERCE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST ABOUT 15
MILES...20 KM...NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. FAY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NORTH FLORIDA TODAY WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.   THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MOSTLY OVER WATER WELL TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF NEAR 16 INCHES
OF RAIN WAS MEASURED AT SATELLITE BEACH JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF
MELBOURNE FLORIDA. 
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA. 
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...28.6 N...80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 200548
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  18A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY FINALLY REACHING THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED ON THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE 27.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 5 MILES...10 KM NORTHWEST OF
SEBASTIAN FLORIDA AND ABOUT 15 MILES... 25 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.  A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS AS FAY MOVES OVER THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS.  FAY IS
LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEAST OR EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA
COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL RESTRENGTHENING IS
EXPECTED AS FAY MOVES OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS LATER TODAY AND
THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...27.9 N...80.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN




WTNT31 KNHC 200855
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL
FLORIDA...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED NORTHWARD...

AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR
MELBOURNE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 15 MILES... 20 KM...SOUTH OF CAPE
CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND FAY IS
LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MOSTLY OVER WATER WELL TO THE EAST OF
THE CENTER.  SOME GRADUAL RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE FAY MOVES BACK INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...28.2 N...80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN




WTNT31 KNHC 201142
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...CENTER OF FAY NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER
INLET FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR VERY NEAR CAPE
CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND FAY IS
LIKELY TO REMAIN NEAR OR OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST THROUGH THURSDAY.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45
MPH...70 KM/HR..WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MOSTLY
OVER WATER WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SOME GRADUAL
RESTRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE FAY
MOVES BACK INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AB AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...28.5 N...80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 201444
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY DRIFTING NORTHWARD DRENCHING PORTIONS OF FLORIDA...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF FORT PIERCE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST ABOUT 15
MILES...20 KM...NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. FAY IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NORTH FLORIDA TODAY WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.   THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MOSTLY OVER WATER WELL TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF NEAR 16 INCHES
OF RAIN WAS MEASURED AT SATELLITE BEACH JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF
MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...28.6 N...80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 201742
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  20A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008
 
...FAY STALLS NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL...DUMPING TORRENTIAL RAINS...
  
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST ABOUT 15
MILES...20 KM...NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.
 
FAY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. FAY IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION LATER TODAY WITH A TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MOSTLY OVER WATER WELL TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF
NEAR 22 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF
MELBOURNE FLORIDA. 
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...28.6 N...80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 202031
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008
 
...WET FAY SOAKING PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...MORE RAIN TO
COME...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...-THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST ABOUT 30
MILES...45 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND
WEST-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE
VERY SLOWLY ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA ON THURSDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE FAY
MOVES OVER LAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. 
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...28.8 N...80.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 202359
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY BACK OVER WATER AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED JUST OFF THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE
29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.
 
FAY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT A
SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TONIGHT...
WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY. ON THIS
TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND FROM NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE RADARS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE
CENTER OF FAY REMAINS OVER WATER TONIGHT...BUT WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...29.0 N...80.3 W. 
MOVEMENT...STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 210244
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...VERY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA
AS FAY SITS JUST OFFSHORE...
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FORT
PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER
BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 35
MILES...60 KM...SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.
 
FAY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT A
SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TONIGHT
OR EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON
THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY...AND NEAR OR ALONG THE GULF
COAST IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA ON FRIDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND FROM NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE RADARS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL SLIGHT
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER OF FAY REMAINS OVER
WATER TONIGHT AND VERY EARLY TOMORROW...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST ON THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA.  ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY OVER PORTIONS
OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...28.9 N...80.5 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...994 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 210553
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008
 
...FAY EDGING TOWARD THE FLORIDA COAST...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES...35 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.
 
FAY HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 2 MPH...3 KM/HR...
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE
VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...AND NEAR
THE GULF COAST IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER OF
FAY REMAINS OVER WATER THIS MORNING...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST LATER TODAY AND FRIDAY AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA.  THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE REPORTS RAINFALL TOTALS OF NEARLY 25 INCHES
IN PARTS OF NORTH MELBOURNE.  ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...29.1 N...80.7 W.  MOVEMENT...
NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 210846
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008
 
...FAY REMAINS JUST OFFSHORE AS HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE... 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...
 30 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.
 
FAY HAS MOVED VERY LITTLE OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A SLOW
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER TODAY
AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY
EARLY SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER
OF FAY REMAINS OVER WATER THIS MORNING...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE ALSO LIKELY OVER SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA DURING THE SAME PERIOD.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF NEAR 30 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN FLORIDA.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...29.1 N...80.7 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...994 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 211141
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...FAY BARELY MOVING...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...
30 KM...EAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.
 
FAY HAS BARELY MOVED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A SLOW
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER TODAY
AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY
EARLY SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER
OF FAY REMAINS OVER WATER THIS MORNING...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE ALSO LIKELY OVER SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA DURING THE SAME PERIOD.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF NEAR 30 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN FLORIDA.
 
STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...29.2 N...80.7 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...994 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 211440
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008
 
...FAY EXPECTED TO MOVE MOVE BACK OVER FLORIDA...BUT TAKING ITS
TIME... 
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES... 20 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.
 
FAY HAS BEEN STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...A
SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SOON AND
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY
LAT FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE
CENTER MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER. THERE WAS A RECENT UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATION FROM THE
AREA JUST NORTH OF ORMOND BEACH OF A GUST OF 65 MPH...105 KM/HR.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST
CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...29.3 N...80.8 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...994 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 211750
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008
 
...CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY BEGINNING TO CROSS THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST NEAR FLAGLER BEACH...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST...OR VERY
NEAR FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA.
 
FAY HAS BEGUN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH...3 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL SLOW MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST
OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND
LATER TODAY. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN AFTER FAY MOVES
INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA JUST
REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH...91 KM/HR.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST
CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...29.4 N...81.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.
 
$$ 
FORECASTER AVILA

WTNT31 KNHC 212032
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...FAY EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA...VERY HEAVY
RAINS CONTINUE...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO
INDIAN PASS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST...JUST WEST OF
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. THE CENTER OF FAY CROSSED THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA NEAR FLAGLER BEACH AROUND 230 PM EDT...1830 UTC. 
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
SLOW MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS
TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE BY LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST
CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...29.4 N...81.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 212350
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008
 
...FAY DRIFTING WESTWARD NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA COAST...
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET 
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
  
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF
COAST FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST...JUST WEST OF
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...AND BE VERY
NEAR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST BY LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST
CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...29.3 N...81.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB
 

WTNT31 KNHC 220244
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...FAY STILL DRIFTING WESTWARD AND DUMPING HEAVY RAINS OVER
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR
THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF
INDIAN PASS WESTWARD TO DESTIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST OR ABOUT 25
MILES...40 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR.  FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS
THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND MOVE NEAR
OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT
FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN
ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL
AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN OUTER RAIN BANDS OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF
FLORIDA.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...29.3 N...81.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 220545
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS
WESTWARD TO DESTIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST OR ABOUT
50 MILES...80 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.  THIS
POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF OCALA
FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/HR.  FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS
THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...AND MOVE NEAR
OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...80 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...BUT FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO
SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...
280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN
ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL
AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN OUTER RAIN BANDS OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF
FLORIDA.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...29.4 N...81.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 220843
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...CENTER OF FAY NEAR GAINESVILLE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
CONTINUE ALONG PARTS OF THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS
WESTWARD TO DESTIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.2 WEST OR NEAR GAINESVILLE
FLORIDA.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...
EAST-NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE COAST
OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT
FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SEVERAL STATIONS IN THE
JACKSONVILLE AREA HAVE REPORTED WIND GUSTS OF 55 TO 60 MPH...
90 TO 95 KM/HR...DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. 
GAINESVILLE RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 996.1 MB...29.41
INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.
 
OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...29.6 N...82.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 221140
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008
 
...FAY CONTINUES SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS
WESTWARD TO DESTIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR JUST WEST OF
GAINESVILLE FLORIDA.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 50 MILES...80
KM...NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
CROSSING THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR
OVER THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...70
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM
INTO SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SEVERAL STATIONS IN THE
JACKSONVILLE AREA HAVE CONTINUED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55
MPH...70 TO 90 KM/HR...DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.
 
OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...29.6 N...82.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 221439
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008
 
...FAY STILL PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COAST TO
DESTIN...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN...AND FROM
FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST OR ABOUT 40
MILES... 70 KM...NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
CROSSING THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR
OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST
FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...70 TO
90 KM/HR. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.
 
OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. 
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...29.6 N...82.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 221745
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008
 
...FAY STILL DRENCHING PORTIONS OF FLORIDA....
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN...AND FROM
FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40
MILES... 70 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 4 MPH...6 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
CROSSING THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR
OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST
FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...70 TO
90 KM/HR.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.
 
OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...29.7 N...82.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 4 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 222026
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008
 
...FAY IS NOT IN A HURRY...SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM FLAGLER
BEACH ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...
 80 KM...NORTH OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...
EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS STILL
POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE....SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
FAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALSO POSSIBLE
OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA.   

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...83.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 222358
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008
 
...CENTER OF FAY EMERGES OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN GULF...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...
 70 KM...SOUTHEAST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA...AND ABOUT 65 MILES...105
KM...EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY...WITH
SLOW WEAKENING FORECAST ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS STILL
POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE....SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
FAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALSO POSSIBLE
OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...83.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 

WTNT31 KNHC 230256
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY CENTERED OVER WATER AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD TO SUWANEE RIVER HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
THIS WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN OR THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES... 80 KM...SOUTH OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 50 MILES...
 75 KM...EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
COAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
 
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND WSR-88D
VELOCITIES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE SLIGHTLY
INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150
KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  
ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
FAY.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...29.7 N...84.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 

WTNT31 KNHC 230549
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  30A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008
 
...CENTER OF FAY MOVING INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...HEAVY RAINS
CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI/
ALABAMA BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
THIS WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN OR THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST OR JUST
SOUTHWEST OF CARRABELLE FLORIDA.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 20
MILES...30 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 45
MILES...70 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
COAST TODAY AND SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150
KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
FAY.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...84.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 230834
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...CENTER OF FAY CURRENTLY INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...WARNINGS AND WATCHES EXTENDED WESTWARD...
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE ABOUT 15 MILES...25 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 50 MILES...85 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. 
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER
THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO
SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.  BAINBRIDGE GEORGIA RECENTLY
REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 43 MPH...69 KM/HR.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE GEORGIA AND FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD
SUBSIDE TODAY.
 
OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...29.9 N...84.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 231142
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008
 
...FAY MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER
THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO
SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE GEORGIA AND FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD
SUBSIDE TODAY.
 
OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.
 
REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...29.9 N...85.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB. 
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 231438
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1000 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...FAY STILL DRENCHING THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND THE PANHANDLE...
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN
NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 100
MILES...160 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER
THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE GEORGIA AND FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD
SUBSIDE TODAY.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA...AND EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...30.1 N...85.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 231730
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
100 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008
 
...CENTER OF FAY MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN
NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
ESTIMATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT
75 MILES...125 KM...EAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
FAY HAS BEEN MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 8
MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER
THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT A
GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN SOON IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER
LAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA...AND EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.
 
REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...30.5 N...85.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 232033
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
400 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008
 
...FAY MOVING FARTHER INLAND ACCOMPANIED BY TORRENTIAL RAINS...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH WEST OF THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-
MISSISSIPPI BORDER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...
175 KM...EAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA AND ABOUT 55 MILES... 85 KM...EAST
OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE TONIGHT...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA...AND EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA. 

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...30.6 N...86.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 

WTNT31 KNHC 232357
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  33A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
700 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008
 
...FAY WEAKENING OVER LAND BUT STILL DUMPING HEAVY RAINS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-
MISSISSIPPI BORDER.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE
30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...
NORTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.  THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA
AND MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY.  LITTLE FORWARD MOTION IS FORECAST ON
MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
TOMORROW.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...
OVER WATER TO THE SOUTH OF THE THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.
 
FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA...AND EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.
 
REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...30.7 N...86.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 

WTNT31 KNHC 201742
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  20A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY STALLS NEAR CAPE CANAVERAL...DUMPING TORRENTIAL RAINS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST ABOUT 15
MILES...20 KM...NORTH OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. FAY IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION LATER TODAY WITH A TURN
TO THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MOSTLY OVER WATER WELL TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT OF
NEAR 22 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF
MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...28.6 N...80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 202031
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...WET FAY SOAKING PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...MORE RAIN TO
COME...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...-THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST ABOUT 30
MILES...45 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND
WEST-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE
VERY SLOWLY ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED BEFORE FAY
MOVES OVER LAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...28.8 N...80.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 202359
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  21A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...FAY BACK OVER WATER AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED JUST OFF THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA NEAR LATITUDE
29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.3 WEST ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT A
SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TONIGHT...
WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY. ON THIS
TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND FROM NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE RADARS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE
CENTER OF FAY REMAINS OVER WATER TONIGHT...BUT WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...29.0 N...80.3 W.
MOVEMENT...STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BROWN




WTNT31 KNHC 210244
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

...VERY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL FLORIDA
AS FAY SITS JUST OFFSHORE...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FORT
PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER
BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 35
MILES...60 KM...SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...BUT A
SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TONIGHT
OR EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON
THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY...AND NEAR OR ALONG THE GULF
COAST IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA ON FRIDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND FROM NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE RADARS INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL SLIGHT
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER OF FAY REMAINS OVER
WATER TONIGHT AND VERY EARLY TOMORROW...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST ON THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA.  ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY OVER PORTIONS
OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...28.9 N...80.5 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...994 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BROWN




WTNT31 KNHC 210553
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  22A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...FAY EDGING TOWARD THE FLORIDA COAST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES...35 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEEN DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 2 MPH...3 KM/HR...
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.  A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE
VERY SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...AND NEAR
THE GULF COAST IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AREA ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER OF
FAY REMAINS OVER WATER THIS MORNING...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST LATER TODAY AND FRIDAY AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
30 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN FLORIDA.  THE MELBOURNE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE REPORTS RAINFALL TOTALS OF NEARLY 25 INCHES
IN PARTS OF NORTH MELBOURNE.  ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...29.1 N...80.7 W.  MOVEMENT...
NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN




WTNT31 KNHC 210846
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...FAY REMAINS JUST OFFSHORE AS HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...
30 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS MOVED VERY LITTLE OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A SLOW
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER TODAY
AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY
EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER
OF FAY REMAINS OVER WATER THIS MORNING...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE ALSO LIKELY OVER SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA DURING THE SAME PERIOD.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF NEAR 30 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN FLORIDA.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...29.1 N...80.7 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...994 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN




WTNT31 KNHC 211141
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...FAY BARELY MOVING...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...
30 KM...EAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BARELY MOVED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A SLOW
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER TODAY
AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY
EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER
OF FAY REMAINS OVER WATER THIS MORNING...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE NEXT 36
HOURS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.  RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE ALSO LIKELY OVER SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA DURING THE SAME PERIOD.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF NEAR 30 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN FLORIDA.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...29.2 N...80.7 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 211440
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...FAY EXPECTED TO MOVE MOVE BACK OVER FLORIDA...BUT TAKING ITS
TIME...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES... 20 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEEN STATIONARY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. HOWEVER...A
SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN SOON AND
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY
LAT FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE
CENTER MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER. THERE WAS A RECENT UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATION FROM THE
AREA JUST NORTH OF ORMOND BEACH OF A GUST OF 65 MPH...105 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST
CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...29.3 N...80.8 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...994 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 211750
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY BEGINNING TO CROSS THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST NEAR FLAGLER BEACH...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST...OR VERY
NEAR FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEGUN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH...3 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL SLOW MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST
OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND
LATER TODAY. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN AFTER FAY MOVES
INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA JUST
REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 56 MPH...91 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST
CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...29.4 N...81.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 212032
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...FAY EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS FLORIDA...VERY HEAVY
RAINS CONTINUE...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO
INDIAN PASS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST...JUST WEST OF
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA. THE CENTER OF FAY CROSSED THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA NEAR FLAGLER BEACH AROUND 230 PM EDT...1830 UTC.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
SLOW MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS
TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE BY LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST
CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...29.4 N...81.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 212350
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  25A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...FAY DRIFTING WESTWARD NEAR THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA COAST...

AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF
COAST FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.2 WEST...JUST WEST OF
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR. FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...AND BE VERY
NEAR THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST BY LATE FRIDAY OR EARLY SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST
CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...29.3 N...81.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KNABB




WTNT31 KNHC 220244
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT THU AUG 21 2008

...FAY STILL DRIFTING WESTWARD AND DUMPING HEAVY RAINS OVER
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR
THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF
INDIAN PASS WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST OR ABOUT 25
MILES...40 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

FAY IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/HR.  FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS
THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND MOVE NEAR
OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT
FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280
KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN
ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL
AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN OUTER RAIN BANDS OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF
FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...29.3 N...81.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 2 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BROWN




WTNT31 KNHC 220545
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS
WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.8 WEST OR ABOUT
50 MILES...80 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.  THIS
POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF OCALA
FLORIDA.

FAY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/HR.  FAY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS
THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...AND MOVE NEAR
OR OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...80 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...BUT FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO
SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...
280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHEASTERN
ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE COASTAL
AREAS OF SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN OUTER RAIN BANDS OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED WITH THIS SYSTEM OVER THE EAST CENTRAL COASTAL AREAS OF
FLORIDA.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...29.4 N...81.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




WTNT31 KNHC 220843
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...CENTER OF FAY NEAR GAINESVILLE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
CONTINUE ALONG PARTS OF THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS
WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.2 WEST OR NEAR GAINESVILLE
FLORIDA.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...
EAST-NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE COAST
OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT
FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SEVERAL STATIONS IN THE
JACKSONVILLE AREA HAVE REPORTED WIND GUSTS OF 55 TO 60 MPH...
90 TO 95 KM/HR...DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
GAINESVILLE RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 996.1 MB...29.41
INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...29.6 N...82.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




WTNT31 KNHC 221140
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  27A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY CONTINUES SLOWLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS
WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.4 WEST OR JUST WEST OF
GAINESVILLE FLORIDA.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 50 MILES...80
KM...NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
CROSSING THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR
OVER THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...70
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM
INTO SATURDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  SEVERAL STATIONS IN THE
JACKSONVILLE AREA HAVE CONTINUED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55
MPH...70 TO 90 KM/HR...DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...29.6 N...82.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 221439
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 AM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY STILL PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER NORTHEAST
FLORIDA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COAST TO
DESTIN...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN...AND FROM
FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST OR ABOUT 40
MILES... 70 KM...NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
CROSSING THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR
OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST
FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...70 TO
90 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...29.6 N...82.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 221745
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY STILL DRENCHING PORTIONS OF FLORIDA....

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN...AND FROM
FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40
MILES... 70 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 4 MPH...6 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
CROSSING THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...THEN MOVE NEAR OR
OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SEVERAL STATIONS OVER NORTHEAST
FLORIDA ARE CURRENTLY REPORTING WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 55 MPH...70 TO
90 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH OF THE
CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE FLORIDA
GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS
ASSOCIATED WITH FAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...29.7 N...82.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 4 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 222026
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY IS NOT IN A HURRY...SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM FLAGLER
BEACH ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...
80 KM...NORTH OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 110 MILES...175 KM...
EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE CROSSING THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS STILL
POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE....SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
FAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALSO POSSIBLE
OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...83.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 222358
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  29A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...CENTER OF FAY EMERGES OVER THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN GULF...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...
70 KM...SOUTHEAST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA...AND ABOUT 65 MILES...105
KM...EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST ON SATURDAY...WITH
SLOW WEAKENING FORECAST ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IS STILL
POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE....SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
FAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALSO POSSIBLE
OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...83.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB




WTNT31 KNHC 230256
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2008

...FAY CENTERED OVER WATER AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN
GEORGIA...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD TO SUWANEE RIVER HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 1100 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
THIS WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN OR THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES... 80 KM...SOUTH OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA AND ABOUT 50 MILES...
75 KM...EAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
COAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND WSR-88D
VELOCITIES INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE SLIGHTLY
INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150
KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
FAY.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...29.7 N...84.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB




WTNT31 KNHC 230549
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  30A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...CENTER OF FAY MOVING INTO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...HEAVY RAINS
CONTINUE OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI/
ALABAMA BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
THIS WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN OR THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST OR JUST
SOUTHWEST OF CARRABELLE FLORIDA.  THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 20
MILES...30 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 45
MILES...70 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...TAKING FAY NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
COAST TODAY AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND FAY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150
KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND GEORGIA TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF FAY.  STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.
ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA IN OUTER RAIN BANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
FAY.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER COASTAL SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.  ISOLATED STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20 TO 30 INCHES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED WITH FAY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST-CENTRAL COAST OF FLORIDA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY IN PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...84.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




WTNT31 KNHC 230834
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
500 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...CENTER OF FAY CURRENTLY INLAND OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...WARNINGS AND WATCHES EXTENDED WESTWARD...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE ABOUT 15 MILES...25 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 50 MILES...85 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY
FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER
THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO
SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.  BAINBRIDGE GEORGIA RECENTLY
REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 43 MPH...69 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE GEORGIA AND FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD
SUBSIDE TODAY.

OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...29.9 N...84.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




WTNT31 KNHC 231142
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
800 AM EDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...FAY MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE ABOUT 20 MILES...35 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER
THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO
48 HOURS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A TROPICAL STORM INTO
SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE GEORGIA AND FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD
SUBSIDE TODAY.

OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS...FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...29.9 N...85.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 231438
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1000 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...FAY STILL DRENCHING THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND THE PANHANDLE...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN
NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 100
MILES...160 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE GULF COAST OF THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER
THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.  ABOVE
NORMAL TIDES ALONG THE GEORGIA AND FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST SHOULD
SUBSIDE TODAY.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA...AND EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...30.1 N...85.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 231730
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
100 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...CENTER OF FAY MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN
NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
ESTIMATED BY RADAR AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IN THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT
75 MILES...125 KM...EAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

FAY HAS BEEN MOVING ON A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK NEAR 8
MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER
THE GULF COAST OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT A
GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN SOON IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER
LAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER MAINLY OVER WATER SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA...AND EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...30.5 N...85.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 232033
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
400 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...FAY MOVING FARTHER INLAND ACCOMPANIED BY TORRENTIAL RAINS...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH WEST OF THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-
MISSISSIPPI BORDER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...
175 KM...EAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA AND ABOUT 55 MILES... 85 KM...EAST
OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE TONIGHT...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA...AND EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...30.6 N...86.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




WTNT31 KNHC 232357
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  33A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
700 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...FAY WEAKENING OVER LAND BUT STILL DUMPING HEAVY RAINS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-
MISSISSIPPI BORDER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR LATITUDE
30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...
NORTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.  THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA
AND MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY.  LITTLE FORWARD MOTION IS FORECAST ON
MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND FAY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY
TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...
OVER WATER TO THE SOUTH OF THE THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF BOTH MISSISSIPPI
AND ALABAMA...AND EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 20 INCHES POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT IN PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 700 PM CDT POSITION...30.7 N...86.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB




WTNT31 KNHC 240256
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1000 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...FAY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION BUT HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING COULD
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ALONG THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...100 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA AND ABOUT 30 MILES
... 45 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  A
GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT FAY COULD BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY ON MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING
OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY...AND WILL BE
LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI OR EASTERN LOUISIANA ON MONDAY.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WSR-88D RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  VERY GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 999
MB...29.50 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES ACROSS THE EXTREME WESTERN PORTION OF THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...AND
EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY IN PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...30.9 N...87.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT31
KWNH...BEGINNING AT 400 AM CDT SUNDAY.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB




