WTNT25 KNHC 231748
TCMAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152010
1800 UTC THU SEP 23 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND
A HURRICANE WATCH FROM PUERTO CABEZAS NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS. THE GOVERNMENT OF
HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH
FROM THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON...INCLUDING
THE OFFSHORE ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE
OFFSHORE ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO CABEZAS NICARAGUA TO LIMON HONDURAS...INCLUDING THE
OFFSHORE ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  76.2W AT 23/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  76.2W AT 23/1800Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  74.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.1N  77.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 14.7N  80.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.4N  83.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 15.9N  85.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT... 65NE  50SE  30SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.9N  87.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT... 85NE  75SE  45SW  85NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N  88.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 19.5N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N  76.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 


