WTNT22 KNHC 250831
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0900 UTC TUE SEP 25 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  38.0W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  38.0W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N  37.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 10.8N  40.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 11.3N  43.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 11.8N  45.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 12.9N  47.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.0N  51.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 19.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 22.0N  54.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N  38.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 251456
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
1500 UTC TUE SEP 25 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N  38.7W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N  38.7W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  38.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 11.2N  40.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 11.8N  43.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.5N  46.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.9N  48.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 17.2N  51.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N  38.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 252032
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
2100 UTC TUE SEP 25 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  39.9W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  39.9W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  39.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 11.5N  41.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 12.3N  44.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.3N  47.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.7N  48.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.5N  51.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 20.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 22.5N  53.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N  39.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 260244
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0300 UTC WED SEP 26 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  41.0W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  41.0W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.9N  40.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 11.6N  43.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.6N  45.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.8N  47.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.3N  49.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.7N  51.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 20.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.1N  41.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 260838
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0900 UTC WED SEP 26 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  42.1W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  42.1W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  41.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 11.9N  43.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 75NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.0N  46.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.3N  48.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.6N  49.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.0N  51.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N  53.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 22.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.2N  42.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 261453
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
1500 UTC WED SEP 26 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  42.9W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  42.9W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.7N  42.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.6N  44.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.0N  46.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.5N  48.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.8N  50.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 19.0N  52.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 21.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 23.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N  42.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 262048
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
2100 UTC WED SEP 26 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  43.6W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  43.6W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N  43.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 13.2N  45.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.6N  47.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.9N  48.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.0N  50.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.0N  52.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 21.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 23.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N  43.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 270249
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0300 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  45.1W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......150NE 105SE  25SW  90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE  45SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  45.1W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  44.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.9N  46.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...150NE 105SE  25SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  45SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.2N  48.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE  75SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N  50.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.5N  51.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.4N  54.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 21.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 22.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  45.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 270841
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0900 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  46.6W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......150NE 105SE  25SW  75NW.
34 KT.......180NE 150SE  45SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  46.6W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  46.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 14.6N  48.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.8N  50.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.9N  51.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.1N  53.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 21.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 23.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  46.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 271433
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
1500 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  47.3W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......120NE 100SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 140SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE  80SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  47.3W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  46.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.7N  48.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.0N  50.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.0N  52.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.0N  53.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 19.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 21.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 23.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  47.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 272033
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
2100 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  48.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE  80SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  48.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  47.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.5N  49.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.8N  51.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.8N  52.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.7N  54.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 22.5N  56.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.3N  48.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 280245
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0300 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  49.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  49.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  49.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.7N  50.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.9N  52.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.0N  53.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.2N  54.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 22.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 23.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  49.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 280846
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0900 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  49.8W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 120SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 150SE 120SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  49.8W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  49.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 14.8N  50.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.0N  52.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.3N  53.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.5N  56.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  65NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 22.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 22.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  49.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 281441
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
1500 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  49.2W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  49.2W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  49.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.5N  50.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.6N  52.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.6N  53.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N  54.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 20.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 21.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 22.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  49.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 282031
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  49.9W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 110SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 130SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  49.9W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  49.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.1N  50.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.2N  52.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.2N  53.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.3N  55.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 25.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  49.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 290230
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0300 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  51.9W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  51.9W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  51.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.0N  53.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.2N  54.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 19.5N  56.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 20.7N  57.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 24.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 25.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  51.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 290842
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
0900 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  52.9W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  52.9W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  52.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.4N  54.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.5N  55.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 21.0N  58.2W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 24.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 25.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  52.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 291438
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
1500 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  53.8W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  53.8W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  53.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.5N  55.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 19.0N  56.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 20.5N  57.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  53.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 292030
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL122007
2100 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  54.3W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  54.3W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  54.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N  55.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  54.3W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

