WTNT22 KNHC 252029
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC WED AUG 25 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  32.2W AT 25/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  32.2W AT 25/2100Z
AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  31.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.6N  34.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.0N  38.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.5N  41.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.0N  50.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  25SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N  32.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 260241
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC THU AUG 26 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  33.6W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  33.6W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  32.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 15.0N  35.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.5N  39.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.0N  42.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.4N  45.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.4N  51.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 19.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N  33.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 260834
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC THU AUG 26 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  34.8W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  34.8W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  34.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.7N  37.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.4N  40.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.6N  43.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.7N  47.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.9N  52.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 22.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  34.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 261433
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC THU AUG 26 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  37.1W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE   0SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  37.1W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  36.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.4N  39.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 15.7N  42.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.1N  46.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  45SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N  49.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  75SE  60SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.8N  54.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 20.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 22.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N  37.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 262048
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC THU AUG 26 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  38.8W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE  50SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  38.8W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  38.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.6N  41.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.9N  44.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.3N  47.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.7N  50.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  75SE  60SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.2N  55.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.6N  60.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 23.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  38.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 270230
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  40.2W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  30SE  15SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  40.2W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  39.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.0N  42.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 16.3N  46.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.5N  49.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.7N  52.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  75SE  60SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 21.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  40.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 270835
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  41.6W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  30SE  15SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  41.6W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  40.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.2N  44.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.4N  47.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.6N  50.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.2N  53.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  75SE  60SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 21.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 24.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  41.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 271430
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
RESIDENTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  43.6W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  30SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  43.6W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  42.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 15.8N  45.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.3N  49.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.8N  53.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  75SE  60SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.8N  60.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 21.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 25.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N  43.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 272030
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC FRI AUG 27 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
FRENCH SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY. THIS TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 72 HOURS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FRENCH SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
 
RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  46.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE  30SE  15SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  46.0W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  45.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.9N  48.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.3N  52.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 85NE  75SE  60SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.5N  62.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 23.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 27.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  46.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 280249
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC SAT AUG 28 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FRENCH SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
 
THIS TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 72 HOURS.
 
RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.  WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS
OF THESE ISLANDS TOMORROW.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  47.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  45SE  15SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  47.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  47.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.2N  50.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.6N  54.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.3N  56.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.1N  59.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 20.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 24.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 29.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  47.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 280845
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC SAT AUG 28 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS
...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND
ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  50.1W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  45SE  15SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  50.1W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  49.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.0N  52.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  20SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  55SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.5N  55.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.2N  58.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.2N  60.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.8N  64.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 24.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 29.5N  69.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N  50.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 281435
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC SAT AUG 28 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  51.8W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  45SE  10SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  45SE  20SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  51.8W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  51.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.1N  54.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  10SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.8N  60.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.7N  62.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 25.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 30.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  51.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 282041
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC SAT AUG 28 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENTS OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAVE ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST.KITTS...NEVIS...AND
ANGUILLA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND FOR
THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND FOR THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  54.2W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 75NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  45SE  25SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  54.2W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  53.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.3N  61.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 25.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 30.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  54.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 290300
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENTS OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAVE ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...
NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH
FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U. S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  55.4W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE  80SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  30SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  55.4W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  54.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.1N  62.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.0N  63.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 25.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 31.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  55.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 290838
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MAARTEN...SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BEGINNING
WITHIN 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  56.9W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE  80SE  15SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE  80SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  56.9W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  56.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.3N  59.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  15SW  35NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.9N  61.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.7N  63.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.9N  65.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  90SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 29.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N  56.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 290300
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENTS OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAVE ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...
NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH
FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U. S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  55.4W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE  80SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  30SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  55.4W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  54.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  20SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.1N  62.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  20SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.0N  63.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 25.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 31.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N  55.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





WTNT22 KNHC 290838
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MAARTEN...SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BEGINNING
WITHIN 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  56.9W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......140NE  80SE  15SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE  80SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  56.9W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  56.2W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 17.3N  59.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  15SW  35NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 17.9N  61.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.7N  63.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.9N  65.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 120SE  90SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 29.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 34.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N  56.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN





WTNT22 KNHC 291449
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.  A
HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  58.4W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  60SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE  80SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  58.4W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  57.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.6N  60.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N  62.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.6N  64.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.1N  66.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.2N  69.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 31.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 37.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  58.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BERG
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 292045
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  59.5W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  59.5W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  58.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N  61.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.9N  63.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.3N  65.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.1N  66.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  75SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 27.3N  70.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 33.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 40.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  59.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BERG
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 300231
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC MON AUG 30 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  61.1W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  61.1W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  60.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N  62.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.6N  64.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.1N  66.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.8N  68.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 34.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 40.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  61.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 300832
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC MON AUG 30 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  62.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  62.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  61.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.1N  64.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.3N  66.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.9N  67.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  85NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.0N  69.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 29.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 35.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 42.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  62.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 291449
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.  A
HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  58.4W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  60SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..170NE  80SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  58.4W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  57.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 17.6N  60.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  60SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N  62.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.6N  64.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  75SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.1N  66.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.2N  69.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 31.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 37.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  58.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BERG




000

WTNT22 KNHC 292045
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC SUN AUG 29 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING
FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  59.5W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  59.5W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  58.9W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.0N  61.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.9N  63.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.3N  65.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 22.1N  66.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  75SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 125NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 27.3N  70.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 33.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 40.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  59.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BERG




000

WTNT22 KNHC 300231
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC MON AUG 30 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  61.1W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  61.1W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  60.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.5N  62.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.6N  64.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.1N  66.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.8N  68.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 130SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 34.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 40.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  61.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN




000

WTNT22 KNHC 300832
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC MON AUG 30 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  62.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  62.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  61.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.1N  64.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.3N  66.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.9N  67.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  85NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.0N  69.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 29.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 35.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 42.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  62.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




000

WTNT22 KNHC 301445
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC MON AUG 30 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE PUERTO RICAN ISLANDS OF
CULEBRA AND VIEQUES.

THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE
WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS
TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICAN ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...AND NEVIS
* PUERTO RICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  63.6W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..320NE 170SE 100SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  63.6W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  63.0W

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 19.5N  65.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.8N  68.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 110SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.2N  70.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 130SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 37.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 45.5N  63.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  63.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BERG




000

WTNT22 KNHC 302046
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC MON AUG 30 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING..AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANGUILLA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE WILL DISCONTINUE THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR
SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY AT 600 PM AST...2200 UTC.
 
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...CULEBRA...AND
VIEQUES HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  64.7W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..320NE 170SE 100SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  64.7W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  64.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.2N  66.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.7N  68.1W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.4N  70.1W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.8N  72.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.6N  74.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 38.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 45.5N  63.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N  64.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 310248
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  65.8W AT 31/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 200SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  65.8W AT 31/0300Z
AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 20.9N  67.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.6N  69.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.6N  71.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.9N  73.4W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 38.5N  70.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 46.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  65.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 310853
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE SAN JUAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  66.7W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  931 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..480NE 300SE 170SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  66.7W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  66.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.4N  68.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.3N  70.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.5N  72.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.0N  73.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 33.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 40.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 48.0N  60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N  66.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 311452
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
 
INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  67.9W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  939 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT.......175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..440NE 180SE 180SW 390NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  67.9W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  67.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.3N  69.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...175NE 160SE 120SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.8N  71.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.3N  73.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  50SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 43.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 52.5N  57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N  67.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 312042
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHEASTWARD TO SURF CITY.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO
AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY
 
INTERESTS FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  68.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE  90SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..470NE 240SE 180SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  68.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  68.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.3N  70.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  90SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.6N  72.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.0N  74.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 44.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 56.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  68.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 312103
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC TUE AUG 31 2010
 
AMENDED TO UPDATE HURRICANE WATCH AREA

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA
NORTHEASTWARD TO SURF CITY.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY
 
INTERESTS FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  68.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE  90SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..470NE 240SE 180SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  68.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N  68.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.3N  70.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  90SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.6N  72.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.0N  74.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 170SE 125SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 170NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 170NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 44.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 56.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N  68.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 010239
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC WED SEP 01 2010

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.

INTERESTS FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  69.9W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE  90SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..470NE 240SE 180SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N  69.9W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N  69.2W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.5N  71.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE  90SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.8N  75.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.7N  75.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 175NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 39.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 175NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 47.0N  62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 56.0N  58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N  69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN





WTNT22 KNHC 010840
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC WED SEP 01 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF VIRGINIA FROM THE
NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO PARRAMORE ISLAND.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR SAN SALVADOR ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS AND
WATCHES FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO PARRAMORE ISLAND
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN SALVADOR ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM CAPE FEAR TO SURF CITY
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  71.2W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..440NE 300SE 210SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  71.2W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  70.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.8N  72.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.5N  74.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.3N  75.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.6N  74.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 42.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 175SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 50.0N  61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 57.0N  58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N  71.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 011454
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC WED SEP 01 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES FROM BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
 
THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ADJUSTED AND NOW EXTENDS FROM THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF
BOGUE INLET.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAN SALVADOR ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM NEW JERSEY TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  72.1W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  943 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 210SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.1N  72.1W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  71.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.0N  73.7W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 29.8N  75.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.8N  75.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 125SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.0N  73.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 44.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...100NE 140SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 175SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 55.0N  60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.1N  72.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 012051
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC WED SEP 01 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING
DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH
OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO
WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND
SOUND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE.
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
* FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING
BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  73.3W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  941 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 210SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N  73.3W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  72.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 28.4N  74.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.7N  75.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 120SW 175NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 35.1N  74.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.5N  72.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 46.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 125SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 58.0N  57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N  73.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 020255
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC THU SEP 02 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE.
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING
BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  73.8W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  932 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..450NE 270SE 210SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  73.8W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  73.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.0N  75.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.2N  75.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N  73.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 40.0N  70.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 48.5N  61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 57.0N  57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N  73.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 020846
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC THU SEP 02 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...AND WEST OF WOODS HOLE
MASSACHUSETTS TO WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF LONG
ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO
PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED NORTH OF PLYMOUTH
MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE.
 
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST
OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO MEDWAY HARBOUR.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE.
* WESTPORT TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET NORTHWARD
AND EASTWARD TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING
BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND
PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.
* NORTH OF PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE.
* THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO MEDWAY HARBOUR.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  74.7W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  928 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 320NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  74.7W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  74.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 31.7N  75.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.8N  74.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.1N  72.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 41.6N  69.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 50.5N  62.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW  60NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N  74.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 021455
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC THU SEP 02 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS
FROM WESTPORT EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL INCLUDING
MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT
TO WEST OF WESTPORT...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
* WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL INCLUDING
MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
* THE EASTERN PORTION OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET
TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR.
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF HULL MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE.
* THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO MEDWAY HARBOUR.
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND PORT
JEFFERSON HARBOR.  
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  74.8W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  932 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 80NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  90SW  75NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 300SE 300SW 320NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  74.8W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  74.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 33.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 40.0N  70.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 44.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 53.5N  62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N  74.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 022038
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC THU SEP 02 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS
* WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL INCLUDING
MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM MEDWAY HARBOUR TO DIGBY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT
* THE EASTERN PORTION OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET
TO PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF HULL MASSACHUSETTS TO EASTPORT MAINE.
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET AND PORT
JEFFERSON HARBOR
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM TO MEDWAY HARBOUR AND FROM DIGBY TO
FORT LAWRENCE
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM JUST WEST OF FORT LAWRENCE WESTWARD TO THE
U.S./CANADA BORDER
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  75.2W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT.......100NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 400SE 260SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  75.2W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  75.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 34.8N  74.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 38.0N  72.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 41.7N  69.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 46.5N  64.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z...ABSORBED BY LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N  75.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 030232
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC FRI SEP 03 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS
FROM NORTH OF HULL TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER...AND FOR THE COAST OF
MAINE FROM STONINGTON TO EASTPORT.
 
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS EXPANDED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO INCLUDE
PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND...THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM
NORTHWARD TO POINT TUPPER...AND FROM AULDS COVE IN NOVA SCOTIA
WESTWARD TO SHEDIAC IN NEW BRUNSWICK.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF SURF CITY NORTH
CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS
* WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM MEDWAY HARBOUR TO DIGBY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EASTWARD
ON THE SOUTH SHORE AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
* NORTH OF HULL MASSACHUSETTS TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER
* STONINGTON MAINE EASTWARD TO EASTPORT MAINE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER TO WEST OF STONINGTON MAINE
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET ON THE SOUTH
SHORE AND WEST OF PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR ON THE NORTH SHORE
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE AND FROM TIDNISH WESTWARD TO SHEDIAC
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE SOUTHWESTWARD TO DIGBY...MEDWAY
HARBOUR NORTHEASTWARD TO POINT TUPPER...AND AULDS COVE WESTWARD TO
TIDNISH
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  74.4W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
EYE DIAMETER  50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
50 KT.......100NE  90SE 115SW 100NW.
34 KT.......180NE 120SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 300SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  74.4W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N  74.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.2N  73.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE 110SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 39.5N  70.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 160SE 140SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 43.9N  66.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  90SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 48.4N  61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 140SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N  74.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BERG
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 030849
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC FRI SEP 03 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA...AND FOR THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE ABLEMARLE SOUND.
 
THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED NORTH OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE.
 
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST
OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM LISMORE SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO ECUM
SECUM...AND FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND.
 
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR CAPE BRETON
ISLAND AND THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND THE EASTERN
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS
* WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM MEDWAY HARBOUR TO DIGBY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EASTWARD
ON THE SOUTH SHORE AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WESTPORT MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
* NORTH OF HULL MASSACHUSETTS TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER
* STONINGTON MAINE EASTWARD TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM LISMORE SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO
ECUM SECUM
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER TO WEST OF STONINGTON MAINE
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND WEST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET ON THE SOUTH
SHORE AND WEST OF PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR ON THE NORTH SHORE
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE AND FROM TIDNISH WESTWARD TO SHEDIAC
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM NORTHEASTWARD TO POINT TUPPER...AND
EAST OF LISMORE TO POINT TUPPER
* CAPE BRETON ISLAND AND THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N  74.0W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
50 KT.......100NE  90SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 300SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.3N  74.0W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.6N  74.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 37.8N  72.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 41.6N  68.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 45.9N  64.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 180SE 140SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 50.7N  60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z...ABSORBED BY LARGE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.3N  74.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 031458
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC FRI SEP 03 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND
REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF OCRACOKE.
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA FOR MASSACHUSETTS HAS BEEN REDUCED.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR WESTERN LONG ISLAND AND THE COAST OF
CONNECTICUT WEST OF NEW HAVEN HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
ALL WATCHES/WARNINGS BETWEEN HULL MASSACHUSETTS AND CAPE ELIZABETH
MAINE HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
NUMEROUS CHANGES TO CANADIAN WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OCRACOKE NORTH CAROLINA TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING
DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH
OF NEW POINT COMFORT
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EASTWARD
ON THE SOUTH SHORE AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO HULL MASSACHUSETTS
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD
TO ECUM SECUM
* TIDNISH TO LISMORE
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE ELIZABETH TO WEST OF STONINGTON MAINE
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM NORTHEASTWARD TO LISMORE
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  73.1W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
50 KT.......100NE  90SE 120SW 100NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 420SE 260SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.8N  73.1W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  73.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 39.7N  70.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  40NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE 120SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 43.8N  66.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 49.0N  62.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 52.0N  56.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.8N  73.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 032035
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC FRI SEP 03 2010
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ALL WARNINGS SOUTH OF SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CAPE ELIZABETH TO WEST OF STONINGTON
MAINE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SEVERAL CHANGES TO CANADIAN WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EASTWARD
ON THE SOUTH SHORE AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO HULL MASSACHUSETTS
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA.
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  71.8W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 400SE 200SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  71.8W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  72.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 41.2N  69.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 46.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 51.5N  59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 180SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N  71.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 032039
TCMAT2
HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC FRI SEP 03 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ALL WARNINGS SOUTH OF SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM CAPE ELIZABETH TO WEST OF STONINGTON
MAINE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SEVERAL CHANGES TO CANADIAN WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND NEW YORK FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET EASTWARD
ON THE SOUTH SHORE AND PORT JEFFERSON HARBOR EASTWARD ON THE NORTH
SHORE
* NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO WEST OF WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...
INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO HULL MASSACHUSETTS
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA.
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  71.8W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 400SE 200SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.2N  71.8W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.5N  72.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 41.2N  69.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 46.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 51.5N  59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...270NE 240SE 180SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.2N  71.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 040232
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC SAT SEP 04 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS EASTWARD AROUND
CAPE COD TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLAND HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF WATCH HILL
RHODE ISLAND AND FOR ALL OF LONG ISLAND.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND EASTWARD AROUND CAPE COD TO HULL
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD...NANTUCKET ISLAND...AND
BLOCK ISLAND
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N  69.7W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 470SE 470SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N  69.7W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N  70.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 43.1N  66.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 48.2N  61.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...170NE 180SE 150SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 52.5N  56.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 55.5N  54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...210NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 57.0N  57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N  69.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 040831
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC SAT SEP 04 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR MASSACHUSETTS
AND ADJACENT ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM ECUM SECUM WESTWARD TO DIGBY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* STONINGTON MAINE TO EASTPORT MAINE
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE...AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N  67.1W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  26 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 470SE 470SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.7N  67.1W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.8N  68.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 45.4N  63.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 50.1N  58.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 270SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 54.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 150SE 150SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 56.0N  53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 56.5N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE 180SW 270NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.7N  67.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 041448
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
1500 UTC SAT SEP 04 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT MAITLAND TO PORT
LHEBERT HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FOR NOVA SCOTIA FROM PORT LHEBERT TO POINT TUPPER
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE FUNDY NATIONAL PARK EASTWARD TO FORT
LAWRENCE...AND FROM SHEDIAC TO TIDNISH
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* POINT ESCUMINAC TO SHEDIAC NEW BRUNSWICK
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.3N  64.5W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  31 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE 100SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 470SE 470SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 44.3N  64.5W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 43.0N  65.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 48.0N  60.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  25NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 52.5N  56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...210NE 180SE 300SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 55.5N  53.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE 210SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 57.0N  54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 120SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 56.0N  53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE 150SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...ABSORBED BY A LARGE EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 44.3N  64.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 042031
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
2100 UTC SAT SEP 04 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM BURGEO WESTWARD TO BOAT HARBOUR NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH
FROM PORTERS LAKE TO POINT TUPPER...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE TO MARGARETSVILLE...MEDWAY HARBOUR
TO POINT TUPPER...AND TIDNISH TO BRULE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 
* NOVA SCOTIA FROM POINT TUPPER AROUND CAPE BRETON TO BRULE
* THE EASTERN PORTION OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND FROM VICTORIA TO LOWER
DARNLEY
* THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM BURGEO WESTWARD TO BOAT HARBOUR
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.5N  62.2W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  34 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 100SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 470SE 470SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 47.5N  62.2W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 46.0N  63.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 52.0N  58.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 55.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 55.7N  51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 57.0N  51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 47.5N  62.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT22 KNHC 050230
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0300 UTC SUN SEP 05 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS...PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND AND NOVA
SCOTIA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
 
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO BOAT HARBOUR
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 50.7N  59.2W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  40 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 140SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 210SE 160SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 800SE 900SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 50.7N  59.2W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 49.7N  60.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 52.9N  55.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 55.0N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 57.0N  53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 57.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 54.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE 240SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 52.0N  36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 50.7N  59.2W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON EARL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON EARL CAN BE FOUND IN
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

