WTNT31 KNHC 141453
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
1100 AM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008
  
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE BORDER BETWEEN HONDURAS AND
NICARAGUA WESTWARD TO LIMON.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.0 WEST OR ABOUT
45 MILES... 70 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND A WEST
OR WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS...HOWEVER...
THE CENTER COULD MAKE LANDFALL IN HONDURAS IF THERE IS ANY
DEVIATION TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND 
THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY WEDNESDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
THE DEPRESSION MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA AND NORTHERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...15.6 N...83.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 141743
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
200 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008
 
...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OFF THE COAST 
OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF
HONDURAS FROM THE BORDER BETWEEN HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA WESTWARD
TO LIMON.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST OR ABOUT
40 MILES... 65 KM...NORTH OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7
KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND A GENERAL
WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO REMAIN JUST
OFFSHORE OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS...HOWEVER...THE CENTER
COULD MAKE LANDFALL IN HONDURAS IF THERE IS ANY DEVIATION TO THE
SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
THE DEPRESSION MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA AND NORTHERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...15.6 N...83.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
30 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 500 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 142051
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
500 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008
 
...DEPRESSION HAS NOT STRENGTHENED...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS
FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA
BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
  
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF THE POORLY ORGANIZED
DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.6
WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES... 90 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CABO GRACIAS A
DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER AND ABOUT 135 MILES...215
KM...EAST OF LIMON HONDURAS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND A GENERAL
WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY NEAR
THE COAST OF NORTHERN HONDURAS. ANY DEVIATION TO THE SOUTH OF THE
FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER INLAND OVER HONDURAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION MAY PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA AND NORTHERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...15.7 N...83.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 

WTNT31 KNHC 142351
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
800 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008
 
...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS
FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO LIMON.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA
BORDER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD
TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF THE POORLY ORGANIZED
DEPRESSION WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.5
WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES... 260 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CABO GRACIAS
A DIOS ON THE NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER. 
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9
KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND A
GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE
VERY NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ANY DEVIATION TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING
THE CENTER INLAND OVER HONDURAS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA AND NORTHERN HONDURAS WITH MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...16.2 N...83.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/SCHAUER CLARK
 

WTNT31 KNHC 150257
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
1100 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008

...DEPRESSION PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS
FROM THE BORDER WITH NICARAGUA WESTWARD TO LIMON.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITION ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 HOURS ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST OF HONDURAS WEST OF THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER. A
TROPICAL WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE
CITY TO THE BORDER WITH GUATEMALA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST OR ABOUT
90 MILES...150 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON THE
NICARAGUA/HONDURAS BORDER.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH.  A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE NORTHERN
COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ANY DEVIATION TO
THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING THE CENTER INLAND OVER
HONDURAS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...16.2 N...83.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/SCHAUER CLARK
 

WTNT31 KNHC 150534
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
200 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008
 
...DEPRESSION REMAINS POORLY-ORGANIZED...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS
FROM THE BORDER WITH NICARAGUA WESTWARD TO LIMON.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  TROPICAL STORM
CONDITION ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN 24 HOURS ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST OF HONDURAS WEST OF THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
HONDURAS FROM WEST OF LIMON WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER. A
TROPICAL WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE
CITY TO THE BORDER WITH GUATEMALA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...175 KM...EAST OF LIMON HONDURAS.
 
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS
BUT IS GENERALLY MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/HR. A
GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE
VERY NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. ANY DEVIATION TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING
THE CENTER INLAND OVER HONDURAS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS LONG AS THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEAST NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...16.0 N...84.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 150839
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
500 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

...DEPRESSION HUGGING THE COAST OF HONDURAS...
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF LIMON TO THE GUATEMALA BORDER
WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FOR THE WHOLE HONDURAS COAST FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA
BORDER WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF GUATEMALA
AND FOR SOUTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA
BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST OR ABOUT
95 MILES...150 KM...EAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 285 MILES...460
KM...EAST OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/HR.  A
GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE
VERY NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
ANY DEVIATION TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING
THE CENTER INLAND OVER HONDURAS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.   GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. 
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. 
 
REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...16.0 N...84.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
 

WTNT31 KNHC 151147
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
800 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD ALONG THE HONDURAS COAST...

AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE WHOLE HONDURAS COAST FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF GUATEMALA
AND FOR SOUTHERN BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE GUATEMALA
BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST OR ABOUT
95 MILES...150 KM...EAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 285 MILES...460
KM...EAST OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 3 MPH...5 KM/HR.  A
GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE
VERY NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
ANY DEVIATION TO THE SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK WOULD BRING
THE CENTER INLAND OVER HONDURAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.   GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...16.0 N...84.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART




WTNT31 KNHC 151505
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
1100 AM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

...BROAD CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION ON THE COAST OF NORTHEAST
HONDURAS...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS REPLACED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHERN BELIZE WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE HONDURAS COAST FROM THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER
AS WELL AS THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
GUATEMALA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 75 MILES...120 KM...EAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 270
MILES...430 KM...EAST OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY NEAR
THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...15.8 N...84.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART




WTNT31 KNHC 151800
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
200 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

...BROAD CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION MOVES INLAND OVER NORTHEAST
HONDURAS...

AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE HONDURAS COAST FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER
WESTWARD TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER AS WELL AS THE ENTIRE
COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
GUATEMALA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1500Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER NORTHWESTERN HONDURAS NEAR LATITUDE
15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 240 MILES...385 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...10
KM/HR...AND A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT THE
SAME SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO MOVE VERY
NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...15.6 N...84.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART



000

WTNT31 KNHC 152046
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
500 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

...CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES MOVING INLAND IN NORTHEASTERN
HONDURAS...
...MAIN CONCERN IS HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD THREAT IN CENTRAL
AMERICA...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DROPPED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN BELIZE COAST NORTH OF
BELIZE CITY.  THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DROPPED THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE HONDURAS COAST.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BELIZE
COAST TO THE GUATEMALA/HONDURAS BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
GUATEMALA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.4 WEST OR ABOUT
25 MILES... 40 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF LIMON HONDURAS AND ABOUT 215
MILES...345 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND THE SYSTEM MAY BECOME A
REMNANT LOW WITHIN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...15.5 N...85.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/STEWART




WTNT31 KNHC 152346
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
800 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA...

AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE
85.6 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...SOUTH OF LIMON HONDURAS AND
ABOUT 205 MILES...330 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN
BELIZE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL REMAIN
INLAND OVER HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AND THE SYSTEM COULD
DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN NICARAGUA...NORTHERN HONDURAS...
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...15.3 N...85.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME



000

WTNT31 KNHC 160238
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162008
1100 PM EDT WED OCT 15 2008

...DEPRESSION BECOMES ILL-DEFINED INLAND OVER HONDURAS...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA...

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE
85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LIMON
HONDURAS AND ABOUT 185 MILES...300 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MONKEY
RIVER TOWN BELIZE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...AND
A MOTION BETWEEN WEST-SOUTHWEST AND WEST IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES OVER NICARAGUA...HONDURAS...BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...15.3 N...85.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME




