WTNT21 KNHC 152030
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC FRI AUG 15 2008

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FOR
THE ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND FOR THE SOUTH
COAST EAST OF SAN PEDRO DE MACORIS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM GONAIVES
NORTHWARD.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO
DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.

AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  69.4W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  69.4W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N  68.6W

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.9N  71.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.4N  74.1W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.9N  76.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.7N  78.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.5N  81.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 26.5N  82.0W...OVER COAST OF FLORIDA
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 30.0N  83.0W...INLAND OVER FLORIDA
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N  69.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





WTNT21 KNHC 160237
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC SAT AUG 16 2008

AT 11 PM AST...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN
EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO PORT AU PRINCE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM PORT AU PRINCE NORTHWARD ALONG THE
ENTIRE NORTH COAST.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND FOR THE SOUTH COAST EAST OF SAN PEDRO DE
MACORIS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURK AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  70.8W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  50SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  50SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  70.8W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  70.2W

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 18.8N  72.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.3N  75.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N  77.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  25SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.0N  81.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  30SW  75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 27.5N  83.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 31.0N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  70.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 160850
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0900 UTC SAT AUG 16 2008

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM EAST OF CABO FRANCES VIEJO ON THE
NORTHERN COAST TO SAN PEDRO DE MACORIS ON THE SOUTHERN COAST HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE PROVINCES OF
CENTRAL CUBA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  72.0W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  72.0W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  71.4W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.0N  74.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.6N  76.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.5N  78.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.8N  79.9W...NEAR SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.0N  82.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 28.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 32.0N  84.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  72.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB





WTNT21 KNHC 161435
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1500 UTC SAT AUG 16 2008

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...
AND SANCTI SPIRITUS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...AND HOLGUIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO IS IN EFFECT
FOE THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND
GUANTANMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE ENTIRE COAST OF
HAITI.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA.  ALSO....THE GOVERNMENT OF THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  73.7W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  73.7W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  72.9W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 19.3N  75.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N  77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.1N  79.3W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.7N  80.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.0N  82.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  75SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 32.5N  83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N  73.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





WTNT21 KNHC 162033
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC SAT AUG 16 2008

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...CINEFUEGOS...AND
MATANZAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND SANCTI SPIRITUS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF CIEGO DE AVILA AND
SANCTI SPIRITUS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...HOLGUIN...
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANMO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS CANCELED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.  ALSO AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR HAITI IS CANCELED NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF
HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  75.2W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  75.2W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  74.6W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.9N  77.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.9N  79.1W...NEAR COAST OF CUBA
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.2N  80.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.6N  81.6W...INLAND OVER CUBA
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.0N  82.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 30.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 33.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N  75.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





WTNT21 KNHC 170245
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC SUN AUG 17 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR
CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  76.3W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  76.3W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  75.7W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 20.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 23.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  25SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.5N  82.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.8N  82.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 31.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 34.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  76.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 170858
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0900 UTC SUN AUG 17 2008

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE
DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM
CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO BONITA BEACH.  A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 5 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCE OF SANCTI SPIRITUS EASTWARD TO GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR
CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EEFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF
MATANZAS EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
JAMAICA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF FAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  77.3W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  77.3W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  76.8W

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.7N  78.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.2N  80.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.7N  81.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.4N  82.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 29.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 32.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 35.5N  82.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N  77.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/RHOME





WTNT21 KNHC 171430
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1500 UTC SUN AUG 17 2008

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE
WATCH IS IN NOW EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF OCEAN
REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO ANNA
MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO
GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  78.6W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 120SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  78.6W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  78.0W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.3N  80.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.9N  81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  45SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.5N  82.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.2N  82.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 32.5N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 36.0N  81.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N  78.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





WTNT21 KNHC 172033
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC SUN AUG 17 2008

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO TARPON SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE
WATCH IS IN NOW EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF OCEAN
REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO TARPON
SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

AT 5 PM...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND ISLA DE LA
JUVENTUD...AND HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF LAS TUNAS EASTWARD.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM
CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND
LITTLE CAYMAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF FAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  80.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N  80.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  79.8W

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.3N  81.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.8N  82.8W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.3N  83.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.0N  83.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.0N  83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 33.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 37.0N  82.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N  80.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





WTNT21 KNHC 180238
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC MON AUG 18 2008

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF
TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO
TARPON SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM
CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND
LITTLE CAYMAN.

AT  11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
EASTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA KEYS TO OCEAN REEF.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO
KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF FAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  80.6W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 120SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  80.6W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.1N  80.3W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.3N  81.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.8N  82.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.3N  82.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.0N  82.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 30.5N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 34.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 37.5N  82.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  80.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





WTNT21 KNHC 180850
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0900 UTC MON AUG 18 2008

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
SOUTH OF OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND
FLORIDA BAY.

AT 5 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF
JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET.

AT 5 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF
OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA
BAY...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE
WESTWARD TO TARPON SPRINGS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM
CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND
LITTLE CAYMAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF FAY.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  80.9W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  80.9W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  80.8W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.5N  81.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.1N  82.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 26.6N  82.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.2N  82.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 31.1N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 33.0N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 35.5N  82.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N  80.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN





WTNT21 KNHC 181438
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1500 UTC MON AUG 18 2008

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO COCOA BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM COCOA BEACH
SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST EAST OF FLAMINGO...
INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA TO TARPON SPRINGS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF COCOA BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR CUBA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  81.5W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 65NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  81.5W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  81.2W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.6N  81.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.2N  82.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.8N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.3N  81.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 31.5N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 33.6N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 35.5N  82.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N  81.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





WTNT21 KNHC 182034
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC MON AUG 18 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLAGLER BEACH
SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON
SPRINGS.  A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS...AND FOR THE FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD
SOUND BRIDGE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS
AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  81.9W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N  81.9W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  81.7W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.8N  82.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.4N  81.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.8N  81.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 30.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 31.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 32.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 33.0N  84.0W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N  81.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





WTNT21 KNHC 190250
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC TUE AUG 19 2008

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND.  A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON SPRINGS IS DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND FOR THE
FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  81.9W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  81.9W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  81.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.6N  81.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 28.1N  81.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.2N  81.0W...ON COAST
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 30.3N  81.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 31.0N  81.5W...ON COAST
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 32.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 32.0N  84.0W...INLAND...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N  81.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH





WTNT21 KNHC 190852
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0900 UTC TUE AUG 19 2008

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.

AT 5 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD...AND
ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLAGLER BEACH SOUTHWARD...
INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN
REEF TO THE WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.  ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ELSEWHERE ARE DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  81.7W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  15SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  81.7W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  81.8W

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 27.0N  81.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.3N  80.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 29.3N  80.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 30.0N  81.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 30.5N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 31.0N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 31.0N  85.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N  81.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN





WTNT21 KNHC 191444
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1500 UTC TUE AUG 19 2008

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST
COAST OF FLORIDA...FLORIDA KEYS SOUTHWEST OF OCEAN REEF...AND
FLORIDA BAY HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF OCEAN REEF TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  81.3W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.7N  81.3W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.4N  81.4W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 27.9N  80.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 28.9N  80.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 29.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 30.0N  80.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.6N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 31.0N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 31.5N  86.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.7N  81.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 192042
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC TUE AUG 19 2008

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST FROM JUPITER SOUTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...
GEORGIA...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  81.0W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 150SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N  81.0W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  81.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 28.2N  80.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 29.0N  80.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 29.5N  80.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 30.0N  81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 30.5N  83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 31.4N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 32.0N  87.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N  81.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 200240
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC WED AUG 20 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
THE SAVANNAH RIVER.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  80.7W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  80.7W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  80.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 28.4N  80.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 29.0N  80.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.5N  80.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  45NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.9N  81.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.5N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 31.0N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 32.0N  87.5W...INLAND...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N  80.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/RHOME





WTNT21 KNHC 200855
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0900 UTC WED AUG 20 2008

AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH
FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  80.6W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  80.6W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  80.6W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 28.8N  80.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 29.3N  80.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.6N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 30.0N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.4N  84.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 30.7N  86.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 31.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N  80.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/FRANKLIN





WTNT21 KNHC 201443
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1500 UTC WED AUG 20 2008

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF FORT PIERCE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  80.6W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.6N  80.6W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.4N  80.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 29.0N  80.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.4N  81.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.8N  82.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 30.0N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.5N  84.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 31.0N  86.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 32.0N  88.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.6N  80.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 202031
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC WED AUG 20 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  80.5W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  80.5W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  80.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 29.2N  80.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.5N  81.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.8N  83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 30.2N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 31.3N  86.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 32.5N  88.4W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 33.5N  89.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 210243
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC THU AUG 21 2008
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FORT
PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER
BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  80.5W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  80.5W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  80.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.2N  81.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.4N  82.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 29.7N  83.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.1N  84.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 31.0N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 32.0N  89.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 32.5N  90.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N  80.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 210846
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0900 UTC THU AUG 21 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  80.7W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  80.7W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  80.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.4N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.6N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 30.0N  83.9W...ALONG FL GULF COAST
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.3N  85.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.7N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 31.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 31.0N  89.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N  80.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 211440
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1500 UTC THU AUG 21 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  80.8W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  80.8W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  80.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.5N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  20SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 29.6N  82.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.8N  84.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.0N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 31.5N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 32.0N  90.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N  80.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 212032
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC THU AUG 21 2008
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO
INDIAN PASS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.
  
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  81.4W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  81.4W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  81.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.5N  82.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 29.7N  83.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.9N  84.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.4N  86.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.0N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 31.5N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 32.0N  90.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N  81.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 220244
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC FRI AUG 22 2008
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR
THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF
INDIAN PASS WESTWARD TO DESTIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  81.4W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  81.4W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  81.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 29.4N  82.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.6N  83.7W...OVER GULF OF MEXICO
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.0N  85.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.4N  86.7W...NEAR FL PANHANDLE COAST
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.0N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 31.2N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 31.5N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N  81.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 220831
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0900 UTC FRI AUG 22 2008
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS
WESTWARD TO DESTIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  82.2W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  82.2W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  81.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 29.7N  83.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.8N  84.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.1N  86.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.5N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.0N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 31.0N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 32.0N  89.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N  82.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 221439
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1500 UTC FRI AUG 22 2008
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COAST TO
DESTIN...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN...AND FROM
FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  82.7W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  82.7W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  82.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.7N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE  60SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.0N  85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.3N  86.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  60SE  60SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.6N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.0N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 31.5N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 32.5N  89.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N  82.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 222026
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC FRI AUG 22 2008
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM FLAGLER
BEACH ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  83.2W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  83.2W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  82.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.9N  84.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.2N  85.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.5N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 31.5N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 32.0N  91.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N  83.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 230247
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD TO SUWANEE RIVER HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 1100 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
THIS WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN OR THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  84.2W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  84.2W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  83.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.8N  85.3W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.1N  86.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N  88.5W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.5N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 30.5N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 31.5N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 33.0N  90.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N  84.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 230834
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0900 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  84.9W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  84.9W AT 23/0900Z...INLAND
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  84.7W...INLAND
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.0N  86.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.3N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.5N  89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.5N  90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 30.5N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 32.1N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 33.5N  89.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N  84.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 231438
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1500 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN
NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  85.6W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  85.6W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  85.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.1N  86.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N  88.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.6N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.7N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 31.0N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 32.5N  90.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 33.5N  89.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  85.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 232032
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH WEST OF THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-
MISSISSIPPI BORDER.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  86.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  86.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N  85.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.9N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.2N  89.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 31.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 32.5N  90.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 34.5N  89.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N  86.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 202031
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC WED AUG 20 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE
NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA
SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  80.5W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N  80.5W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N  80.6W

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 29.2N  80.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.5N  81.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.8N  83.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 30.2N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 31.3N  86.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 32.5N  88.4W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 33.5N  89.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N  80.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 210243
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC THU AUG 21 2008

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FORT
PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER
BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  80.5W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  80.5W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.9N  80.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 29.2N  81.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.4N  82.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 29.7N  83.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.1N  84.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 31.0N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 32.0N  89.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 32.5N  90.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.9N  80.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB





WTNT21 KNHC 210846
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0900 UTC THU AUG 21 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  80.7W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  80.7W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  80.7W

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.4N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE   0SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.6N  82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 30.0N  83.9W...ALONG FL GULF COAST
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.3N  85.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.7N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 31.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 31.0N  89.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N  80.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN





WTNT21 KNHC 211440
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1500 UTC THU AUG 21 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  80.8W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  80.8W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  80.7W

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 29.5N  81.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...130NE 100SE  20SW  75NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 29.6N  82.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.8N  84.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.0N  85.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 31.5N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 32.0N  90.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N  80.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 212032
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC THU AUG 21 2008

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE GULF OF MEXICO COAST OF FLORIDA FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER TO
INDIAN PASS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA
NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND
SOUTH CAROLINA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  81.4W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......130NE 100SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N  81.4W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  81.1W

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.5N  82.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 29.7N  83.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.9N  84.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.4N  86.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.0N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 31.5N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 32.0N  90.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N  81.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 220244
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC FRI AUG 22 2008

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR
THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF
INDIAN PASS WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  81.4W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  81.4W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  81.2W

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 29.4N  82.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 130SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.6N  83.7W...OVER GULF OF MEXICO
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.0N  85.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.4N  86.7W...NEAR FL PANHANDLE COAST
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.0N  88.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 31.2N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 31.5N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N  81.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB





WTNT21 KNHC 220831
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0900 UTC FRI AUG 22 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO INDIAN PASS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF INDIAN PASS
WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET
FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  82.2W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  82.2W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  81.9W

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 29.7N  83.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.8N  84.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.1N  86.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.5N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.0N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 31.0N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 32.0N  89.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N  82.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





WTNT21 KNHC 221439
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1500 UTC FRI AUG 22 2008

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF OF MEXICO COAST TO
DESTIN...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN...AND FROM
FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN
GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF DESTIN TO THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  82.7W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  82.7W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  82.4W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.7N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE  60SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.0N  85.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.3N  86.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  60SE  60SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.6N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.0N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 31.5N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 32.5N  89.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N  82.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 222026
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC FRI AUG 22 2008

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM FLAGLER
BEACH ON THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD AND WESTWARD TO DESTIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  83.2W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  80SE  40SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  83.2W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  82.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.9N  84.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.2N  85.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.5N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.0N  89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 31.5N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 32.0N  91.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.8N  83.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 230247
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE GULF
COAST OF FLORIDA FROM ARIPEKA NORTHWARD TO SUWANEE RIVER HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF
DESTIN TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER HAS BEEN CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 1100 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
THIS WATCH DOES NOT INCLUDE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN OR THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  84.2W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  84.2W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  83.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 29.8N  85.3W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.1N  86.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N  88.5W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.5N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 30.5N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 31.5N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 33.0N  90.5W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N  84.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB





WTNT21 KNHC 230834
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0900 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  84.9W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  84.9W AT 23/0900Z...INLAND
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.8N  84.7W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.0N  86.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.3N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 30.5N  89.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.5N  90.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 30.5N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 32.1N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 33.5N  89.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.9N  84.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN





WTNT21 KNHC 231438
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1500 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN
NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  85.6W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  85.6W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  85.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.1N  86.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 30.5N  88.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 30.6N  89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.7N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 31.0N  91.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 32.5N  90.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 33.5N  89.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  85.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 232032
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
2100 UTC SAT AUG 23 2008

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH WEST OF THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-
MISSISSIPPI BORDER.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  86.3W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  86.3W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N  85.9W

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.9N  87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.2N  89.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 31.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 31.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 32.5N  90.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 34.5N  89.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N  86.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA





WTNT21 KNHC 240244
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
0300 UTC SUN AUG 24 2008

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ALONG THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  87.1W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  87.1W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  86.7W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 31.3N  88.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 31.2N  90.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 31.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 31.0N  91.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 31.5N  90.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 33.0N  89.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 35.0N  88.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N  87.1W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER KNABB





