WTNT24 KNHC 011443
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1500 UTC MON SEP 01 2008

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  39.5W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  39.5W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N  38.8W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 18.0N  41.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.0N  44.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.0N  47.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  25SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.5N  50.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  25SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.0N  56.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 23.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  39.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




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