WTNT25 KNHC 012330
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
2330 UTC MON AUG 01 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
ISLANDS OF GUADELOUPE...DESIRADE...LES SAINTES...AND MARIE GALANTE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND
THE ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONSTSERRAT...AND ANTIGUA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAITI.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* GUADELOUPE...DESIRADE...LES SAINTES...AND MARIE GALANTE
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONSTSERRAT...AND ANTIGUA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  62.0W AT 01/2330Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N  62.0W AT 01/2330Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  60.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 15.6N  63.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  15SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  15SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.4N  68.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.4N  70.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.0N  74.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 24.0N  77.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 26.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N  62.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 020236
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
0300 UTC TUE AUG 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* GUADELOUPE...DESIRADE...LES SAINTES...AND MARIE GALANTE
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...AND ANTIGUA
* HAITI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  62.9W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  62.9W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  62.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.9N  64.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  15SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.8N  67.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.8N  69.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.9N  71.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N  75.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 25.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 27.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  62.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 020846
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
0900 UTC TUE AUG 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE...DESIRADE...LES SAINTES...AND MARIE GALANTE
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...AND ANTIGUA
* HAITI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  64.0W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  64.0W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  63.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.2N  66.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  15SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.0N  68.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.8N  70.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.7N  73.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.5N  76.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 26.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 30.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  64.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 021450
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
1500 UTC TUE AUG 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR GUADELOUPE...DESIRADE...LES SAINTES...AND MARIE GALANTE.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR HAITI HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  63.6W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  63.6W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  63.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.7N  66.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   5SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.5N  68.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.5N  70.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.0N  73.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.5N  76.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 30.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N  63.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 022040
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
2100 UTC TUE AUG 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  65.4W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  65.4W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  64.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.2N  66.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.3N  68.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N  70.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.5N  72.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 24.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 28.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 32.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  65.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 022224 CCA
TCMAT5

TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
2100 UTC TUE AUG 02 2011
 
CORRECTED FOR INITIAL MOTION

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  65.4W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  65.4W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  64.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.2N  66.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.3N  68.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N  70.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.5N  72.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 24.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 28.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 32.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  65.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 030235
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
0300 UTC WED AUG 03 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  66.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......105NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  66.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  66.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.0N  68.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT...105NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.4N  70.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...105NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 20.2N  72.6W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N  74.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.0N  77.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 29.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 33.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  66.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 030836
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
0900 UTC WED AUG 03 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  68.1W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  68.1W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  67.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.3N  69.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.0N  71.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.7N  73.7W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.5N  78.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 30.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 33.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  68.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 031449
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
1500 UTC WED AUG 03 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN IN EASTERN CUBA.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN PROVINCES IN EASTERN CUBA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  69.7W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  69.7W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  68.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.5N  71.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.0N  73.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.0N  75.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 23.0N  76.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.6N  78.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 30.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 34.1N  72.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  69.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 032054
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN PROVINCES IN EASTERN CUBA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
INTERESTS IN EAST-CENTRAL CUBA AND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF EMILY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  71.0W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE   0SW  20NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  71.0W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  70.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.5N  74.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 21.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.5N  77.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  25SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 31.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 34.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N  71.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 040241
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
0300 UTC THU AUG 04 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO
WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCIS
VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN PROVINCES IN EASTERN CUBA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
INTERESTS IN EAST-CENTRAL CUBA AND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF EMILY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  71.0W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  71.0W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  70.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.9N  72.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.0N  74.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.1N  76.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.8N  77.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 27.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  35SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 31.5N  76.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 35.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N  71.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 040848
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
0900 UTC THU AUG 04 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO
WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCIS
VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN PROVINCES IN EASTERN CUBA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EAST-CENTRAL CUBA AND IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  71.7W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  71.7W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  71.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.9N  72.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.0N  74.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.5N  76.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.7N  77.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 32.5N  74.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 36.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  71.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/KIMBERLAIN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 041441
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
1500 UTC THU AUG 04 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO
WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCIS
VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI
* HAITI
* SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS...AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN PROVINCES IN EASTERN CUBA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EAST-CENTRAL CUBA AND IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  72.3W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  60SE   0SW  15NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  72.3W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  71.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.6N  73.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 25.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.0N  77.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 32.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 36.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  72.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 062036
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
2100 UTC SAT AUG 06 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  78.1W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   0 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  78.1W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  78.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.9N  77.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.9N  75.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW  15NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.6N  71.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW  15NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.6N  65.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N  78.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 062107
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
2100 UTC SAT AUG 06 2011

CORRECTED DIRECTION OF MOTION FROM 0 TO 360 DEGREES
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  78.1W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  78.1W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  78.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 27.9N  77.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.9N  75.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW  15NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.6N  71.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  30SW  15NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.6N  65.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N  78.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 070242
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
0300 UTC SUN AUG 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  78.2W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  78.2W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.1N  78.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.2N  76.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  45SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 30.9N  74.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  45SE  45SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 32.5N  69.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 35NE  50SE  50SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 34.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  78.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 070835
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
0900 UTC SUN AUG 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  77.7W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  77.7W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.1N  77.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.9N  75.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.7N  72.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.4N  66.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N  77.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 

WTNT25 KNHC 071431
TCMAT5
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052011
1500 UTC SUN AUG 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  76.0W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  76.0W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  76.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.6N  74.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 33.4N  69.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 35.2N  63.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  76.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

