WTNT22 KNHC 172032
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022011
2100 UTC SUN JUL 17 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACO ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACO ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  78.2W AT 17/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  78.2W AT 17/2100Z
AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  78.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 27.4N  78.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 28.2N  77.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 29.0N  77.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 30.4N  76.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 32.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 34.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 36.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  78.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/STEWART
 
 

