WTNT21 KNHC 280230
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
0300 UTC SUN OCT 28 2007
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEPRESSION.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  71.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  71.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  71.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 16.6N  72.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.7N  74.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.8N  76.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.6N  77.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  40SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 21.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  75SW 125NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 22.5N  80.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 25.0N  78.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  71.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 280855
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
0900 UTC SUN OCT 28 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER
WESTWARD TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA LATER
TODAY.
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  72.1W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  72.1W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  71.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 17.0N  73.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.9N  74.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.9N  76.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.7N  77.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 21.5N  80.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 23.0N  79.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 25.0N  77.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N  72.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 281442
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007
1500 UTC SUN OCT 28 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN CUBA IN THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR JAMAICA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  72.5W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  72.5W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  72.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 17.0N  73.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 18.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.0N  76.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.0N  78.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 22.0N  80.0W...INLAND OVER CUBA
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 24.0N  78.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  72.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 

