WTNT24 KNHC 071457
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
1500 UTC WED SEP 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  42.0W AT 07/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  42.0W AT 07/1500Z
AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  41.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 13.5N  45.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 14.0N  49.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.5N  53.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.5N  56.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 23.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  42.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 072039
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
2100 UTC WED SEP 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  44.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  44.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  43.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 13.6N  47.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 14.5N  51.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 16.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 18.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 22.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 25.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N  44.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 080305
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0300 UTC THU SEP 08 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT KITTS
IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...
AND SAINT KITTS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  46.2W AT 08/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  46.2W AT 08/0300Z
AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  45.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 13.7N  49.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.3N  53.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.1N  56.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.1N  59.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.0N  64.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  30SE   0SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 22.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 25.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  46.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 080832
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0900 UTC THU SEP 08 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE LEEWARD ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...
AND SAINT KITTS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  48.2W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  48.2W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  47.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 13.8N  51.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 14.5N  54.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.3N  57.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  30SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.7N  60.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  30SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  30SE  30SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 23.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 26.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N  48.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 081443
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
1500 UTC THU SEP 08 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
DOMINICA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT KITTS.
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...GUADELOUPE...AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA.
* ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  51.2W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  51.2W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  50.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 13.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 13.8N  57.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 22.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 25.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  51.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 082050
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
2100 UTC THU SEP 08 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT
KITTS
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...GUADELOUPE...AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  52.7W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  52.7W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  51.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 13.4N  55.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.5N  61.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 23.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 25.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N  52.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 090255
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT OF CURACAO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
  
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT
KITTS
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* DOMINICA
* THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* THE U. S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  54.6W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  54.6W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  53.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 13.5N  57.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 14.7N  60.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.3N  62.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.8N  65.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  40SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 26.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N  54.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 090849
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DOMINICA
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  56.2W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  30SE  30SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  56.2W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  55.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.0N  61.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 24.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 27.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  56.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 091446
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND
CULEBRA...HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
DOMINICA WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICA
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  57.5W AT 09/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  45SE  60SW 190NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  57.5W AT 09/1500Z
AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  57.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.1N  59.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.5N  62.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.9N  64.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.3N  66.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.0N  69.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  40SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 24.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 27.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N  57.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 092038
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICA
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  58.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  30SE  80SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  58.6W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  58.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.8N  60.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.2N  62.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.7N  64.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  45SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N  66.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.7N  69.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  60SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 25.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 31.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  58.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 100249
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0300 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICA
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  59.5W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE  40SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  59.5W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  59.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.2N  61.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.8N  63.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.3N  65.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.8N  67.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N  70.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  60SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 27.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 34.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N  59.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 100844
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0900 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GUADELOUPE
* ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT
KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* DOMINICA
* ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  60.2W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  60.2W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  59.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 23.5N  69.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  60SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 27.5N  70.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 34.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  60.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 101457
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
1500 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  61.5W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......175NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  61.5W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  61.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.4N  63.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.9N  64.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.4N  66.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.7N  68.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...125NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 24.9N  70.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 29.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 36.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N  61.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT24 KNHC 102032
TCMAT4
 
TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
2100 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  62.4W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......175NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  62.4W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  62.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N  63.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...175NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 20.6N  65.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...175NE  60SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 21.9N  67.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 22.9N  68.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE  90SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.5N  70.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE  45SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 30.0N  70.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 37.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  62.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

