WTNT21 KNHC 012047
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
2100 UTC TUE SEP 01 2009
 
AT 5 PM...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLAND OF ST. MAARTEN.
 
AT 5 PM...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST.
KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA.
 
AT 5 PM...THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...U.S. AND
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  57.3W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N  57.3W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  57.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.7N  58.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...105NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.4N  60.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.1N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.8N  63.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 21.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 25.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N  57.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 020245
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST.
MAARTEN...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.
MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...U.S. AND
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  57.6W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......105NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  57.6W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  57.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 18.0N  58.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.5N  60.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N  61.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.5N  63.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 21.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.6N  68.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 24.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  57.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 020856
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
0900 UTC WED SEP 02 2009
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...
MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND
ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. AND BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
ERIKA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  59.0W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......105NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  59.0W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  58.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.3N  60.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.8N  61.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.4N  62.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 19.0N  64.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.3N  66.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  45SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 24.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N  59.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 021447
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
1500 UTC WED SEP 02 2009
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GUADELOUPE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...
MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND
ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE U.S. AND BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
ERIKA.  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A
PORTION OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  60.4W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  60.4W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  60.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.9N  61.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 17.4N  62.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...105NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.0N  64.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...105NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.6N  65.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...105NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 21.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  60.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 022044
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
2100 UTC WED SEP 02 2009
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR DOMINICA.
 
AT 5 PM AST...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO
AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
AT 5 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...ST.
MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMY...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST.
KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  61.7W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  61.7W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  61.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 16.8N  62.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.4N  64.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N  66.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.7N  67.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 20.0N  70.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 21.5N  73.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  61.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 030241
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
0300 UTC THU SEP 03 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA
GUADELOUPE... ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMY... ANTIGUA...
BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.
MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S.
AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  62.4W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  62.4W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  62.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.4N  63.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.5N  68.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 20.0N  71.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.0N  73.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  62.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 030835
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA...
GUADELOUPE...ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMY... ANTIGUA...
BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.
MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S.
AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.7W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.7W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  62.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.1N  64.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.9N  65.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.7N  67.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.0N  70.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 22.5N  73.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  62.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 031433
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
1500 UTC THU SEP 03 2009
 
AT 1500 UTC...11 AM AST...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA...
GUADELOUPE...ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMY... ANTIGUA...
BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.
MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  63.5W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  63.5W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  63.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.4N  66.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.2N  67.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.0N  68.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.5N  71.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.0N  73.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N  63.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 032037
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
2100 UTC THU SEP 03 2009
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ASSOCIATED WITH
ERIKA HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
INTERESTS IN NORTHERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  65.3W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  65.3W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  64.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.2N  66.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.1N  68.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.9N  70.3W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.5N  72.2W...DISSIPATING INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  65.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 040231
TCMAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
0300 UTC FRI SEP 04 2009
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  65.6W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  65.6W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  65.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.0N  66.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.0N  67.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.5N  68.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.0N  70.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  65.6W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

