WTNT33 KNHC 191751
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT BECOMES TROPICAL STORM
HARVEY...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BELIZE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 84.2W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF BELIZE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF BELIZE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA
SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE AT ANY TIME WITHIN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST. HARVEY
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H.  A GENERAL
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS TONIGHT AND
MOVE ACROSS THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE THE
CENTER OF HARVEY REACHES BELIZE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS
OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR
SATURDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS TODAY AND TONIGHT...ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST OF GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY...AND ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT.
 
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND
BELIZE...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.  THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...
ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT33 KNHC 191807
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011

CORRECTED TO ADD EXTENT OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT BECOMES TROPICAL STORM
HARVEY...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BELIZE...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 84.2W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF BELIZE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF BELIZE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA
SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE AT ANY TIME WITHIN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST. HARVEY
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H.  A GENERAL
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS TONIGHT AND
MOVE ACROSS THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE THE
CENTER OF HARVEY REACHES BELIZE.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MIILES...
65 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS
OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR
SATURDAY NIGHT.  TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS TODAY AND TONIGHT...ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST OF GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY...AND ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT.

RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND
BELIZE...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.  THESE
RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...
ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

WTNT33 KNHC 192043
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
500 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011
 
...HARVEY STRENGTHENING AS IT APPROACHES THE BAY ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 84.7W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS
ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA
SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
EAST OF PUNTA PATUCA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA
SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE AT ANY TIME WITHIN THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST. HARVEY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND A GENERAL
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS TONIGHT AND
MOVE ACROSS THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS HARVEY
APPROACHES THE BAY ISLANDS AND BELIZE.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS
OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SATURDAY OR SATURDAY
NIGHT.  TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF
GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY.
 
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND
BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT33 KNHC 192353
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
800 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011
 
...AIRCRAFT FINDS HARVEY JUST NORTH OF THE COAST OF HONDURAS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.1N 84.6W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS
ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA
SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE AT ANY TIME WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT HARVEY IS LOCATED FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST THAN PREVIOUSLY
ESTIMATED.  

AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST. HARVEY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H.  A GENERAL WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR
OR OVER THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE
COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS
HARVEY APPROACHES THE BAY ISLANDS AND BELIZE.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT DATA 
IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS
OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF
GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY.
 
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND
BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1
TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE
NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BLAKE
 

WTNT33 KNHC 200252
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011
 
...HARVEY STRENGTHENS OFF THE COAST OF HONDURAS...HEADING FOR THE
BAY ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 85.2W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS
ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA
SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF
BELIZE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. HARVEY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.  A GENERAL WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR
OR OVER THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY
AND MOVE ACROSS THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR SATURDAY
NIGHT.
 
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND
HARVEY IS NOW FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE
COAST OF BELIZE.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT DATA WAS
994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS
AND ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COAST
OF BELIZE AND THE SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A
PORTION OF THE COAST OF BELIZE BEGINNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY.
 
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND
BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE
NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BLAKE
 

WTNT33 KNHC 200546
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   5A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
100 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011
 
...CENTER OF HARVEY APPROACHING THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.3N 85.6W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA
SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF
BELIZE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST.  HARVEY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.  A GENERAL WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR
OR OVER THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS THIS MORNING AND MOVE ACROSS THE
COAST OF BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND HARVEY IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE COAST OF BELIZE.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS
AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS THIS MORNING...AND OVER THE
COAST OF BELIZE AND THE SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO BY
THIS AFTERNOON.  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A PORTION
OF THE COAST OF BELIZE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN
COAST OF GUATEMALA LATER TODAY.
 
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...
BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE
NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/STEWART
 

WTNT33 KNHC 200853
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
400 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011
 
...HARVEY VERY NEAR ROATAN...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS ON THE BAY
ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 86.5W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NE OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM SE OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF GUATEMALA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA GRUESA SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF
BELIZE LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST.  HARVEY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ON SUNDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS DURING THE
MORNING AND MOVE INLAND ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON OR
TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND HARVEY COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS
AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE MORNING AND INTO
THE AFTERNOON.  TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG
THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON.  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON OR
TONIGHT.
 
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...
BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE
NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/STEWART
 

WTNT33 KNHC 201156
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
700 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011
 
...CENTER OF HARVEY NOW NORTHWEST OF ROATAN...HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT APPROACHING THE STORM...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.6N 87.0W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM WNW OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SE OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF
BELIZE LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST.  HARVEY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED ON SUNDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY IS
FORECAST TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AND MOVE INLAND ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE THIS
AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND HARVEY COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.  AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING
HARVEY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS
AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE MORNING AND INTO
THE AFTERNOON.  TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG
THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON.  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON OR
TONIGHT.
 
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...
BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE
NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT33 KNHC 201453
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
1000 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011
 
...HARVEY MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD BELIZE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 87.6W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SE OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ENE OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE BAY ISLANDS AND FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS
EAST OF PUNTA SAL.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA SAL WESTWARD
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
* THE COAST OF BELIZE
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF
BELIZE LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST. HARVEY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...AND HARVEY
COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL IN BELIZE.  STEADY
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT DATA IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST OF HONDURAS IN THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF
GUATEMALA AND BELIZE BY THIS AFTERNOON.  HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON.
 
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...
BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE
NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT33 KNHC 201750
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
100 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011
 
...CENTER OF HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL NEAR DANGRIGA TOWN BELIZE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 88.3W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA SAL WESTWARD
* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA
* THE COAST OF BELIZE

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
THE CENTER OF HARVEY HAS MADE LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF BELIZE NEAR
DANGRIGA TOWN...AND AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
88.3 WEST. HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...
21 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO NORTHERN
GUATEMALA LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS EXPECTED NOW THAT THE CENTER OF HARVEY IS
MOVING INLAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST OF HONDURAS IN THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF
GUATEMALA AND BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON.
 
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...
BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE
NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MADE LANDFALL.  NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT33 KNHC 202034
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
400 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011
 
...HARVEY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER BELIZE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.2N 88.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM WSW OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR HONDURAS.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR GUATEMALA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF BELIZE SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.8 WEST.  HARVEY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL
MOVE FARTHER INLAND OVER BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON AND CROSS NORTHERN
GUATEMALA TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER
INLAND...AND HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN BELIZE AND
NORTHERN GUATEMALA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NEAR THE CENTER OF
HARVEY.
 
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS BELIZE...GUATEMALA...
WESTERN HONDURAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE SHOULD
SUBSIDE TONIGHT.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

WTNT33 KNHC 202342
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
700 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011
 
...HARVEY MOVING OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA...MAIN THREAT IS HEAVY
RAINFALL...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 89.5W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NE OF TIKAL GUATEMALA
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM W OF BELIZE CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST.  HARVEY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H.  A GENERAL
MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL
CONTINUE MOVING FARTHER INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER
MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS BELIZE...GUATEMALA...
WESTERN HONDURAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.

WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT IN PORTIONS
OF BELIZE AND NORTHERN GUATEMALA NEAR THE CENTER OF HARVEY.
  
STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE SHOULD
SUBSIDE TONIGHT.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 

WTNT33 KNHC 210237
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
1000 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011
 
...WEAKENING HARVEY BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA
AND EASTERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.4N 90.2W
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NNW OF TIKAL GUATEMALA
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST.  HARVEY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL HARVEY
DISSIPATES.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL
CONTINUE MOVING INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT AND MOVE
INTO EASTERN MEXICO ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY AND DISSIPATE BY MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHERN GUATEMALA
TONIGHT NEAR THE CENTER OF HARVEY.
 
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS BELIZE...GUATEMALA...
WESTERN HONDURAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY
OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 

WTNT33 KNHC 210551
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
100 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011
 
...HARVEY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINS OVER GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.5N 90.8W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM WNW OF FLORES GUATEMALA
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF VILLAHERMOSA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHWESTERN GUATEMALA NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST.  HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14
MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL HARVEY DISSIPATES.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK
THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO BY TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS GUATEMALA...WESTERN
HONDURAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

WTNT33 KNHC 210847
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
400 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011
 
...HARVEY MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 92.0W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF VILLAHERMOSA MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NE OF TUXTLA GUTIERREZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 17.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST.  THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL HARVEY DISSIPATES.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE
COASTLINE.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  HARVEY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHERN
MEXICO BY EARLY MONDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

WTNT33 KNHC 211435
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
1000 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011
 
...HARVEY STILL A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS
CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 92.6W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ESE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY SHOULD MOVE
GENERALLY WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...JUST TO THE SOUTH
OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HARVEY IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO
A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO ON
MONDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/WROE
 

WTNT33 KNHC 211439
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER  11...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
1000 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011

CORRECTED RAINFALL STATEMENT IN HAZARDS SECTION
 
...HARVEY STILL A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS
CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 92.6W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ESE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY SHOULD MOVE
GENERALLY WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...JUST TO THE SOUTH
OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  HARVEY IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO
A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO ON
MONDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/WROE
 

WTNT33 KNHC 212042
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
400 PM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011
 
...HARVEY EMERGES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE...TROPICAL STORM
WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 93.8W
ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO NORTHWARD TO BARRA
DE NAUTIA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE
NAUTIA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22
KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE
INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND HARVEY IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND OVER MEXICO. 
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES
OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. 
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH THE WARNING AREA MONDAY MORNING.
 
  
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BRENNAN
 

WTNT33 KNHC 212345
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
700 PM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011
 
...HARVEY STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...HEADED FOR SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 94.2W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NNE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22
KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE
INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND
HARVEY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND
OVER MEXICO.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES
OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT OR MONDAY
MORNING.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN
 

WTNT33 KNHC 220242
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
1000 PM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011
 
...HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH HARVEY ARE SPREADING WESTWARD OVER
SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 95.0W
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM NW OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H. A TURN TO THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...HARVEY IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO MONDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...AND HARVEY COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND OVER MEXICO.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES
OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN A PORTION OF THE
WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN
 

WTNT33 KNHC 220544
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
100 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2011
 
...CENTER OF HARVEY ALMOST ONSHORE NEAR VERACRUZ MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 95.9W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM ESE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.9 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H.  A TURN TO THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...HARVEY WILL MOVE
INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY AS THE CENTER OF
HARVEY APPROACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST
TO DISSIPATE OVER MEXICO BY MONDAY NIGHT.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES
OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
 
WIND...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA THROUGH THE MORNING.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

WTNT33 KNHC 220852
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
400 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2011
 
...HARVEY NOW INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ...
...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.4N 96.0W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE
96.0 WEST.  THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H.  A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BEFORE HARVEY DISSIPATES.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS EXPECTED NOW THAT HARVEY IS INLAND OVER
MEXICO...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN LATER TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES
OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
 
WIND...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 

WTNT33 KNHC 221226
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082011
700 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2011
 
...HARVEY QUICKLY WEAKENING OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 96.7W
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM SW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
NONE.
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY
WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
96.7 WEST.  THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-
SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H.  SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE HARVEY DISSIPATES.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...55
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED NOW
THAT HARVEY IS WELL INLAND OVER MEXICO...AND THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES
OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.
 
WIND...GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF THE EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE THIS MORNING BEFORE SUBSIDING LATER
TODAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/WROE
 

