WTNT23 KNHC 271806
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132007
1800 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  95.5W AT 27/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE  15SW   0NW.
34 KT.......  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  95.5W AT 27/1800Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  95.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.4N  96.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.3N  96.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 20.5N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.0N  99.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N  95.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT23 KNHC 272036
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132007
2100 UTC THU SEP 27 2007
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA TO
CABO ROJO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA TO VERACRUZ. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  95.9W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE  20SE  30SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  95.9W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  95.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.4N  96.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 15NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.5N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.0N  98.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N  95.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT23 KNHC 280240
TCMAT3
HURRICANE LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132007
0300 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO
FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN
COMPLETED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA
TO VERACRUZ. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  96.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 15NE  30SE  30SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  60SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  96.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  96.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.6N  97.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.0N  98.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N  96.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 

WTNT23 KNHC 280847
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132007
0900 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM VERACRUZ
NORTHWARD TO CABO ROJO.  THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM NORTH OF
CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  97.5W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  97.5W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  97.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.9N  98.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N  97.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 

WTNT23 KNHC 281441
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132007
1500 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  98.4W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  98.4W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  98.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.0N  99.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.5N 101.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N  98.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT23 KNHC 282021
TCMAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL132007
2100 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007
  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  99.0W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  20 KT WITH GUSTS TO  25 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  99.0W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  98.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

