WTNT21 KNHC 210242
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC WED SEP 21 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  40.1W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  40.1W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  39.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.4N  42.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.7N  44.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.9N  47.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.2N  50.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 17.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N  40.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 210843
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC WED SEP 21 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  41.8W AT 21/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  41.8W AT 21/0900Z
AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  41.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.0N  43.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.2N  46.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  30SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.5N  49.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.0N  52.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.7N  57.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 18.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 20.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  41.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 211435
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC WED SEP 21 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  43.6W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  43.6W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  42.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.3N  45.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  30SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 13.5N  48.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  30SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.0N  50.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  30SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.7N  53.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  30SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.8N  57.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 21.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  43.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 212031
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC WED SEP 21 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  44.7W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  44.7W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  44.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 13.8N  46.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.1N  49.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.6N  51.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  30SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  30SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 20.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 22.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  44.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 220239
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC THU SEP 22 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OPHELIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  46.2W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  90SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  46.2W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  45.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.0N  48.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.3N  50.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.2N  53.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  30SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.3N  55.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...100NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  30SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 21.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 23.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  46.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 220852
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC THU SEP 22 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
OPHELIA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  47.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  70 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 100SE 100SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  47.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  46.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 13.8N  49.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.5N  51.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.4N  53.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  30SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.7N  55.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.3N  59.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 21.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 24.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  47.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 221431
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC THU SEP 22 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  47.6W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 100SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  47.6W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  47.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.0N  49.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.0N  52.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
34 KT...200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.2N  54.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  30SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.4N  56.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 22.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 25.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.6N  47.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 222032
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC THU SEP 22 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  48.9W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE  50SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 100SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  48.9W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  48.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.5N  50.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  50SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.7N  53.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  50SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.1N  55.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  50SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 23.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 25.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  48.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 230241
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  49.9W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 120SE  50SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 100SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  49.9W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  49.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.8N  51.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...195NE 105SE  45SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.2N  53.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 105SE  45SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.5N  55.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N  57.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 21.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  30SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 22.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 25.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  49.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 230850
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  51.0W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 100SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  51.0W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N  50.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.3N  52.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 105SE   0SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.7N  55.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N  57.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.2N  58.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 21.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 23.0N  64.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 25.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N  51.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 231454
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  52.6W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE  90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  52.6W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  52.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.6N  54.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...225NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.8N  56.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.9N  58.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.1N  60.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 21.2N  64.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 23.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 25.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  52.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 232055
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  53.8W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 100SE  90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  53.8W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  53.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.3N  55.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.6N  60.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.7N  61.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 21.8N  64.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 24.0N  66.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 26.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  53.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 240253
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  54.5W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  54.5W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  54.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.9N  56.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.2N  58.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.4N  59.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 20.3N  61.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 22.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 24.0N  64.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 26.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  54.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 240846
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  55.2W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 100SE 100SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  55.2W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  54.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N  56.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.2N  58.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 20.2N  60.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 21.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 22.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 24.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 26.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N  55.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 241454
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  56.0W AT 24/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 100SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  56.0W AT 24/1500Z
AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  55.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N  57.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.9N  59.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 20.9N  60.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 21.6N  61.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 23.3N  63.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 25.3N  63.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 27.3N  63.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N  56.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 242040
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  57.4W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  57.4W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  57.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.7N  58.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.6N  60.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.5N  61.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 21.4N  62.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 23.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 24.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 27.0N  64.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  57.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 250237
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  58.4W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  58.4W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  58.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.9N  59.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.8N  61.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.6N  62.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.3N  63.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 24.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 26.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  58.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 250840
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  59.5W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  59.5W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  58.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.1N  60.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.9N  61.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.7N  63.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.4N  64.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 22.8N  65.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 25.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 27.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N  59.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 251443
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  60.4W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  60.4W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  60.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.8N  61.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.6N  62.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.6N  64.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.4N  65.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 22.9N  66.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE  90SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 25.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 27.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  60.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 272034
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  60.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  60.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  60.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.7N  61.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.5N  61.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 37.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  60.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 280250
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC WED SEP 28 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  59.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  59.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  59.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N  59.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.5N  60.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.9N  60.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.4N  61.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.3N  62.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 32.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 40.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N  59.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 280830
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC WED SEP 28 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  60.0W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N  60.0W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  59.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N  60.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.4N  60.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.8N  61.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.4N  62.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.7N  62.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 34.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 43.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N  60.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 281430
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC WED SEP 28 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  59.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.7N  59.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  59.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.9N  61.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.5N  61.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.2N  62.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  62.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 36.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 45.0N  54.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.7N  59.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 282032
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC WED SEP 28 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  60.6W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  60.6W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  60.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.2N  61.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.6N  61.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.3N  62.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.2N  63.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 31.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 40.0N  59.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 52.0N  49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N  60.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 290247
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC THU SEP 29 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  60.7W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  60.7W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  60.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.3N  61.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.9N  62.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.7N  62.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.1N  63.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 43.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 54.0N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  60.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 290841
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC THU SEP 29 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  61.1W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N  61.1W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N  60.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.1N  61.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.8N  62.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.9N  62.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.8N  63.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 35.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 46.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 54.0N  44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N  61.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 291445
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC THU SEP 29 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  61.8W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  61.8W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  61.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.1N  62.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 38.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 50.0N  52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 55.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N  61.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 292036
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC THU SEP 29 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  62.3W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  30SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  62.3W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.8N  62.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 30.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 41.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 51.5N  48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 53.0N  30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  62.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 300253
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  62.3W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE  60SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N  62.3W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.2N  62.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.7N  63.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.8N  63.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.8N  62.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 43.5N  58.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 210SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 52.0N  43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N  62.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BROWN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 300840
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  62.6W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N  62.6W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  62.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 24.2N  63.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...165NE 165SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.0N  63.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 30.1N  62.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 34.6N  61.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 44.3N  57.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE  90SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 51.5N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N  62.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 301431
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  62.8W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  62.8W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  62.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.2N  63.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...165NE 165SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.1N  62.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 37.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.0N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE  90SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 52.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N  62.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 302042
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  63.0W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  63.0W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  62.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.5N  63.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...165NE 165SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.8N  62.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 34.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 39.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 48.0N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE  90SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  63.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 010247
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  63.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.2N  63.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  63.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  63.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.4N  62.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 37.2N  61.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 42.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 105SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 50.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 150SE 180SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.2N  63.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 010853
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  63.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   360 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 110SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  63.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  63.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 30.4N  62.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 34.8N  61.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 40.1N  60.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 44.8N  55.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 240SE 105SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 51.0N  36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 225SE 225SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N  63.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 011443
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION
OF THE AVALON PENINSULA IN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  62.9W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.5N  62.9W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  62.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 37.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 42.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.5N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...170NE 240SE 105SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 50.5N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 225SE 225SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.5N  62.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 012032
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
ENTIRE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  62.6W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  23 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  62.6W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  62.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 35.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 40.0N  60.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 45.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 48.0N  48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 50.0N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...220NE 240SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N  62.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 020251
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  62.2W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  23 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 105SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 300SE 270SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.8N  62.2W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.6N  62.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 37.4N  61.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 42.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.5N  53.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  45SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 49.5N  44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE 240SE 240SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 53.0N  22.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 400SE 400SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.8N  62.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 020834
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  61.8W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  25 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 360SE 270SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N  61.8W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  62.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 39.9N  60.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 44.4N  56.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 47.9N  48.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  45SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 50.5N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE 240SE 240SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 56.0N  17.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 400SE 400SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.2N  61.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 021444
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  60.9W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  27 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 480SE 300SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  60.9W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.4N  61.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 42.4N  59.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.4N  53.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 120SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 200SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 49.6N  43.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE 240SE 240SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 52.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.7N  60.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 022041
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N  59.9W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  29 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......200NE 225SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 480SE 360SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.6N  59.9W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.3N  60.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 45.2N  56.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 100SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 150SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 48.6N  48.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 240SE 200SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 51.0N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 240SE 360SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 56.0N  25.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 360SE 360SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.6N  59.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 030236
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  42
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC MON OCT 03 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.9N  58.6W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT  29 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 200SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 540SE 420SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 43.9N  58.6W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.5N  59.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.6N  53.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...130NE 200SE 120SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 49.8N  43.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 240SE 240SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 53.0N  32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 360SE 480SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 43.9N  58.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

WTNT21 KNHC 030853
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0900 UTC MON OCT 03 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.5N  54.2W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  37 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 70NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......180NE 200SE  90SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 600SE 420SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 46.5N  54.2W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  56.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 49.1N  48.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 200SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 51.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 240SE 300SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 53.0N  28.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 360SE 420SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 46.5N  54.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

